Reference : Investigating Effect of Holidays on Daily Traffic Counts: Time Series Approach
Scientific journals : Article
Engineering, computing & technology : Civil engineering
Business & economic sciences : Special economic topics (health, labor, transportation…)
http://hdl.handle.net/2268/132878
Investigating Effect of Holidays on Daily Traffic Counts: Time Series Approach
English
Cools, Mario mailto [Universiteit Hasselt - UH > > > >]
Moons, Elke [Universiteit Hasselt - UH > > > >]
Wets, Geert [Universiteit Hasselt - UH > > > >]
2007
Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board
2019
22-31
Yes
International
0361-1981
[en] In this paper, different modeling philosophies are explored in order to explain and forecast daily traffic counts. The main objectives of this study are the analysis of the impact of holidays on daily traffic, and the forecasting of future traffic counts. Data coming from single inductive loop detectors, collected in 2003, 2004 and 2005, were used for the analysis. The different models that were investigated showed that the variation in daily traffic counts could be explained by weekly cycles. The Box-Tiao modeling approach was applied to quantify the effect of holidays on daily traffic. The results showed that traffic counts were significantly lower for holiday periods. When the different modeling techniques were compared with respect to forecasting with a large forecast horizon, Box-Tiao modeling clearly outperformed the other modeling strategies. Simultaneous modeling of both the underlying reasons of travel, and revealed traffic patterns, certainly is a challenge for further research.
Researchers ; Professionals ; Students ; General public ; Others
http://hdl.handle.net/2268/132878
also: http://hdl.handle.net/2268/135137
10.3141/2019-04

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