Reference : Investigating Effect of Holidays on Daily Traffic Counts: Time Series Approach
Scientific congresses and symposiums : Paper published in a book
Engineering, computing & technology : Civil engineering
Business & economic sciences : Special economic topics (health, labor, transportation…)
http://hdl.handle.net/2268/133001
Investigating Effect of Holidays on Daily Traffic Counts: Time Series Approach
English
Cools, Mario mailto [Universiteit Hasselt - UH > > > >]
Moons, Elke [Universiteit Hasselt - UH > > > >]
Wets, Geert [Universiteit Hasselt - UH > > > >]
2007
Proceedings of the 86th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board (CD-ROM)
Transportation Research Board of the National Academies
Yes
No
International
Washington
DC
86th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board
21-01-2007 to 25-01-2007
Transportation Research Board of the National Academies
Washington
DC
[en] In this paper, different modeling philosophies are explored in order to explain and forecast
daily traffic counts. The main objectives of this study are the analysis of the impact of
holidays on daily traffic, and the forecasting of future traffic counts. Data coming from single
inductive loop detectors, collected in 2003, 2004 and 2005, were used for the analysis. The
different models that were investigated showed that the variation in daily traffic counts could
be explained by weekly cycles. The Box-Tiao modeling approach was applied to quantify the
effect of holidays on daily traffic. The results showed that traffic counts were significantly
lower for holiday periods. When the different modeling techniques were compared with
respect to forecasting with a large forecast horizon, Box-Tiao modeling clearly outperformed
the other modeling strategies. Simultaneous modeling of both the underlying reasons of
travel, and revealed traffic patterns, certainly is a challenge for further research.
Lepur : Centre de Recherche sur la Ville, le Territoire et le Milieu rural ; LEMA - Local Environment Management and Analysis
Researchers ; Professionals ; Students ; General public ; Others
http://hdl.handle.net/2268/133001

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