Paper published in a book (Scientific congresses and symposiums)
Investigating Effect of Holidays on Daily Traffic Counts: Time Series Approach
Cools, Mario; Moons, Elke; Wets, Geert
2007In Proceedings of the 86th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board (CD-ROM)
Peer reviewed
 

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Abstract :
[en] In this paper, different modeling philosophies are explored in order to explain and forecast daily traffic counts. The main objectives of this study are the analysis of the impact of holidays on daily traffic, and the forecasting of future traffic counts. Data coming from single inductive loop detectors, collected in 2003, 2004 and 2005, were used for the analysis. The different models that were investigated showed that the variation in daily traffic counts could be explained by weekly cycles. The Box-Tiao modeling approach was applied to quantify the effect of holidays on daily traffic. The results showed that traffic counts were significantly lower for holiday periods. When the different modeling techniques were compared with respect to forecasting with a large forecast horizon, Box-Tiao modeling clearly outperformed the other modeling strategies. Simultaneous modeling of both the underlying reasons of travel, and revealed traffic patterns, certainly is a challenge for further research.
Research center :
Lepur : Centre de Recherche sur la Ville, le Territoire et le Milieu rural - ULiège
LEMA - Local Environment Management and Analysis
Disciplines :
Civil engineering
Special economic topics (health, labor, transportation...)
Author, co-author :
Cools, Mario  ;  Universiteit Hasselt - UH
Moons, Elke;  Universiteit Hasselt - UH
Wets, Geert;  Universiteit Hasselt - UH
Language :
English
Title :
Investigating Effect of Holidays on Daily Traffic Counts: Time Series Approach
Publication date :
2007
Event name :
86th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board
Event organizer :
Transportation Research Board of the National Academies
Event place :
Washington, United States - District of Columbia
Event date :
21-01-2007 to 25-01-2007
Audience :
International
Main work title :
Proceedings of the 86th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board (CD-ROM)
Publisher :
Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, United States - District of Columbia
Peer reviewed :
Peer reviewed
Available on ORBi :
since 26 October 2012

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