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See detailCeci n’est pas un conseil !
Choffray, Jean-Marie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

La « Grande Récession de 2008 » a un mérite. Un seul ! Elle a rendu public le fait que personne ne savait exactement ce qui s’était passé, ni ce qui se passait. Pourquoi une telle crise de confiance avait ... [more ▼]

La « Grande Récession de 2008 » a un mérite. Un seul ! Elle a rendu public le fait que personne ne savait exactement ce qui s’était passé, ni ce qui se passait. Pourquoi une telle crise de confiance avait-elle vu le jour ? Quelles en seraient les conséquences ? Toutes et tous se sont trompés, y compris les meilleurs. Même celles et ceux qui étaient convaincus d’avoir raison ! Plus que jamais, l’incertitude, la saine et souveraine incertitude, garantit la liberté de l’investisseur... et du professeur ! [less ▲]

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See detailShort Prime Quadratizations of Cubic Negative Monomials
Crama, Yves ULg; Rodriguez Heck, Elisabeth ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Pseudo-Boolean functions naturally model problems in a number of different areas such as computer science, statistics, economics, operations research or computer vision, among others. Pseudo-Boolean ... [more ▼]

Pseudo-Boolean functions naturally model problems in a number of different areas such as computer science, statistics, economics, operations research or computer vision, among others. Pseudo-Boolean optimization (PBO) is NP-hard, even for quadratic polynomial objective functions. However, much progress has been done in finding exact and heuristic algorithms for the quadratic case. Quadratizations are techniques aimed at reducing a general PBO problem to a quadratic polynomial one. Quadratizing single monomials is particularly interesting because it allows quadratizing any pseudo-Boolean function by termwise quadratization. A characterization of short quadratizations for negative monomials has been provided. In this report we present a proof of this characterization for the case of cubic monomials, which requires a different analysis than the case of higher degree. [less ▲]

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See detailOptimization of the service start time for an elementary shortest path problem with time windows
Arda, Yasemin ULg; Crama, Yves ULg; Kucukaydin, Hande ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

We investigate an elementary shortest path problem with resource constraints where a single capacitated vehicle, initially located at a depot, must serve a set of customers while respecting their ... [more ▼]

We investigate an elementary shortest path problem with resource constraints where a single capacitated vehicle, initially located at a depot, must serve a set of customers while respecting their individual time windows. When the vehicle visits a customer, it delivers the customer's demand and collects a revenue in return for the delivery. The vehicle can start its trip at any desired time. The transportation cost is a function of both the total distance traveled and the duration of the assigned trip. The objective is to determine the service start time from the depot, the subset of customers to be served, and the trip to be performed so as to minimize the total loss, which is calculated as the di erence between the transportation cost and the revenue collected from the customers. We develop two exact dynamic programming algorithms which can deal with an in nite number of Pareto-optimal states arising from the fact that the starting time and the duration of the trip act like continuous decision variables. We report computational results obtained with these algorithms and with a faster heuristic for the elementary shortest path problem. We also examine the performance of these algorithms when they are used to solve the pricing subproblem arising in the framework of a column generation algorithm for a related vehicle routing problem with time windows. [less ▲]

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See detailNew Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2014
Sacré, Robert ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Compte rendu du NOLA Jazz & Heritage Festival avril-mai 2014 , avec photos

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See detailEconomic Statistical Design of the VP( X) ̅ Control Charts for Monitoring a Process under Non-normality
Seif, Asghar; Faraz, Alireza ULg; Saniga, Erwin

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Recent studies proved that variable parameters (VP) X ̅ control charts not only detects process mean shifts quicker than the classical X ̅ control chart but also has better economic properties ... [more ▼]

Recent studies proved that variable parameters (VP) X ̅ control charts not only detects process mean shifts quicker than the classical X ̅ control chart but also has better economic properties. Furthermore, like most papers in control chart design, the fundamental assumption is that process data are normally distributed. Nevertheless, process quality variables may not be normal in application. In this paper, we investigate the economic statistical design of the VP X ̅ control chart when the underlying process distribution is non-normal. We illustrate the design procedure and perform a sensitivity analysis on the process and cost parameters based upon the degrees of skewness and kurtosis of the population using an industrial application. [less ▲]

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See detailSimple connectome inference from partial correlation statistics in calcium imaging
Sutera, Antonio ULg; Joly, Arnaud ULg; François-Lavet, Vincent ULg et al

E-print/Working paper (2014)

In this work, we propose a simple, but yet efficient method for the problem of connectome inference in calcium imaging data. The proposed algorithm consists of two steps. First, processing the raw signals ... [more ▼]

In this work, we propose a simple, but yet efficient method for the problem of connectome inference in calcium imaging data. The proposed algorithm consists of two steps. First, processing the raw signals to detect neural peak activities. Second, inferring the degree of association between neurons from partial correlation statistics. This paper summarizes the methodology that led us to win the Connectomics Challenge, proposes a simplified version of our method and finally discusses our results with respect to other inference methods. [less ▲]

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See detailThe Macroeconomics of PAYG Pension Schemes in an Aging Society
Artige, Lionel ULg; Cavenaile, Laurent; Pestieau, Pierre ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailSome misunderstood or unknown tricks (VIII) and Turing-completeness (LaTeX)
Merciadri, Luca ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

We will begin by exposing new tricks, i.e. how to 1. write ‘closed’ square roots, 2. insert blank pages, 3. ask the reader to turn the page, 4. write bold words in an index, 5. divide a cell by a diagonal ... [more ▼]

We will begin by exposing new tricks, i.e. how to 1. write ‘closed’ square roots, 2. insert blank pages, 3. ask the reader to turn the page, 4. write bold words in an index, 5. divide a cell by a diagonal, 6. draw ‘product integrals,’ 7. understand what happens when \mathcal has a lower-case letter argument. We will then consider an uncommon example of what one can do with LaTeX, in link with its Turing completeness. [less ▲]

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See detailAn Ant Colony System for Responsive Dynamic Vehicle Routing
Schyns, Michael ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

We present an algorithm based on an Ant Colony System to deal with a broad range of Dynamic Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problems with Time Windows, (partial) Split Delivery and Heterogeneous fleets ... [more ▼]

We present an algorithm based on an Ant Colony System to deal with a broad range of Dynamic Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problems with Time Windows, (partial) Split Delivery and Heterogeneous fleets (DVRPTWSD). Besides the traditional distance criterion, we address the important case of responsiveness. Responsiveness is defined here as completing a delivery as soon as possible, within the time window, such that the client or the truck may restart its activities. This is crucial for many production or service activities in different fields: express parcel deliveries, taxi services, Just in Time production, express repair services, medical care, petrol station replenishment, etc. We develop an interactive web-based solution to allow dispatchers to take new information into account in real-time. The algorithm and its parametrization were tested on real and artificial instances. We first illustrate our approach with a problem submitted by Liege Airport, the 8th biggest cargo airport in Europe. The goal is to develop a decision system to optimize the journey of the refueling trucks. We then consider some classical VRP benchmarks with extensions for more complex problems. [less ▲]

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See detailHexis
Durand, Pascal ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Définition et discussion du concept d'« Hexis » dans la sociologie de Pierre Bourdieu.

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See detailIllusio
Durand, Pascal ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Définition et discussion du concept d'« Illusio » dans la sociologie de Pierre Bourdieu.

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See detailCapital symbolique
Durand, Pascal ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Présentation et discussion du concept de « Capital symbolique » dans la sociologie de Pierre Bourdieu.

Detailed reference viewed: 57 (13 ULg)
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See detailA new methodological approach for error distributions selection in Finance
Hambuckers, julien ULg; Heuchenne, Cédric ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

In this article, we propose a robust methodology to select the most appropriate error distribution candidate, in a classical multiplicative heteroscedastic model. In a first step, unlike to the ... [more ▼]

In this article, we propose a robust methodology to select the most appropriate error distribution candidate, in a classical multiplicative heteroscedastic model. In a first step, unlike to the traditional approach, we don't use any GARCH-type estimation of the conditional variance. Instead, we propose to use a recently developed nonparametric procedure (Mercurio and Spokoiny, 2004): the Local Adaptive Volatility Estimation (LAVE). The motivation for using this method is to avoid a possible model misspecification for the conditional variance. In a second step, we suggest a set of estimation and model selection procedures (Berk-Jones tests, kernel density-based selection, censored likelihood score, coverage probability) based on the so-obtained residuals. These methods enable to assess the global fit of a given distribution as well as to focus on its behavior in the tails. Finally, we illustrate our methodology on three time series (UBS stock returns, BOVESPA returns and EUR/USD exchange rates). [less ▲]

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See detailProtecting Assets Under Non-Parametric Market Conditions
Choffray, Jean-Marie ULg; Pahud de Mortanges, Charles ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Under non-parametric market conditions, investors usually become more concerned about the return of their money than about the return on their money. Protecting assets becomes the surest if not the only ... [more ▼]

Under non-parametric market conditions, investors usually become more concerned about the return of their money than about the return on their money. Protecting assets becomes the surest if not the only path to survival and growth. High frequency trading systems, over leveraged shadow entities, flash crashes, and stealth central bank actions, to name a few, contribute to create a “Rumsfeldian” type of world in which decision makers have to cope not only with “Known knowns” – things they know that they know – but also with “Unknown unknowns” – things they don’t know that they don’t know! The goal of this paper is to explore such a conceptual model of the “Unknown” and to derive from it a concise and coherent set of battle-tested heuristics aimed at designing effective investment strategies to protect assets. [less ▲]

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See detailLes determinants des Price-Earnings ratios en Europe
Lambert, Marie ULg; Lenglois, Julien ULg; Streel, Alexandre ULg et al

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Méthode largement employée en matière d’évaluation d’entreprise, l’analyse dite comparative s’appuie sur une estimation de la valeur des entreprises selon un multiple de leur agrégat financier. Aussi ... [more ▼]

Méthode largement employée en matière d’évaluation d’entreprise, l’analyse dite comparative s’appuie sur une estimation de la valeur des entreprises selon un multiple de leur agrégat financier. Aussi appelée ‘méthode des pairs’, les multiples sont définis sur base d’un échantillon d’entreprises considérées comme comparable en termes de croissance et de risque. Le secteur est généralement retenu en pratique comme critère sous-tendant la croissance et le profil de risque opérationnel de l’entreprise. L’analyse menée dans cet article démontre l’importance des fondamentaux tels que la croissance, le risque et le taux de distribution des bénéfices dans la définition des pairs et donc de la valeur des entreprises. Sur base d’un échantillon des 100 entreprises cotées sur l’EURONEXT, entreprises les plus capitalisées et liquides, l’étude met en évidence un impact différencié de ces déterminants selon les conditions économiques. Les conséquences de notre analyse sont multiples. Premièrement, notre étude témoigne de l’importance des variables telles que le profil de risque et les perspectives croissance pour la sélection des pairs. Notre approche permet par ailleurs d’appréhender la valeur des entreprises sur base de leurs propres fondamentaux, corrigeant ainsi la méthode des multiples ‘sectoriels’ pour les différences qui subsistent au sein des sous-jacents de la valeur. Finalement, cet article nourrit une discussion quant à l’impact de la finance comportementale sur la valorisation de l’entreprise de par l’impact différencié des fondamentaux sur la valeur des entreprises au cours du temps. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation and approximation in nonlinear dynamic systems using quasilinearization
Frasso, Gianluca ULg; Jaeger, Jonathan ULg; Lambert, Philippe ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Nonlinear (systems of) ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are common tools in the analysis of complex one-dimensional dynamic systems. In this paper we propose a smoothing approach regularized by a ... [more ▼]

Nonlinear (systems of) ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are common tools in the analysis of complex one-dimensional dynamic systems. In this paper we propose a smoothing approach regularized by a quasilinearized ODE-based penalty in order to approximate the state functions and estimate the parameters defining nonlinear differential systems from noisy data. Within the quasilinearized spline based framework, the estimation process reduces to a conditionally linear problem for the optimization of the spline coefficients. Furthermore, standard ODE compliance parameter(s) selection criteria are easily applicable and conditions on the state function(s) can be eventually imposed using soft or hard constraints. The approach is illustrated on real and simulated data. [less ▲]

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See detailTentatives de réflexion sémiotique et psychanalytique au sujet du voile islamique
Demoulin, Laurent ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

La sémiotique et la psychanalyse sont peut-être de nature à enrichir le débat sur l'interdiction du voile islamique dans les lieux publics.

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See detailLe Parti Socialiste en 2014: un programme électoral en rupture avec les précédents ?
Piet, Grégory ULg; Dandoy, Régis

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailMultivariate coefficients of variation: comparison and influence functions
Aerts, Stéphanie ULg; Haesbroeck, Gentiane ULg; Ruwet, Christel ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

In the univariate setting, coefficients of variation are well known and used to compare the variability of populations characterized by variables expressed in different units or having really different ... [more ▼]

In the univariate setting, coefficients of variation are well known and used to compare the variability of populations characterized by variables expressed in different units or having really different means. When dealing with more than one variable, the use of such a relative dispersion measure is much less common even though several generalizations of the coefficient of variation to the multivariate setting have been introduced in the literature. In this paper, the lack of robustness of the sample versions of the multivariate CV's is illustrated by means of influence functions and a robust counterpart based on the Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) estimator is advocated. Then, focusing on two of the considered multivariate CV's, a diagnostic tool based on their influence functions is derived and its efficiency in detecting observations having an unduly large effect on variability is illustrated on a real-life data set. The influence functions are also used to compute asymptotic variances under elliptical distributions, yielding approximate confidence intervals. Finally, simulations are conducted in order to compare the performance of the classical and robust multivariate CV's in a finite sample setting. As expected, when the data are normally distributed, the classical estimator performs better than the robust counterpart based on the MCD estimator, while the reverse is true when the data are contaminated. [less ▲]

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See detailExamining the Effect of Earnings Management on Bid-Ask Spread and Market Liquidity
Sougné, Danielle ULg; Ajina, Aymen ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

The main purpose of this paper is to argue the extent that earnings management lowers liquidity. It should increase information asymmetry and impair trading liquidity. Using a sample of French firms from ... [more ▼]

The main purpose of this paper is to argue the extent that earnings management lowers liquidity. It should increase information asymmetry and impair trading liquidity. Using a sample of French firms from 2008 to 2011, we find that firms that manage earnings have wider bid-ask spreads. Our results are robust for both of two well established measures of market liquidity. Therefore the empirical results indicate that firms that exhibit greater earnings management are associated with lower market liquidity. These findings are in line with adverse selection and shed light on the role corporate governance devices can play in the consideration of shareholder interest’s protection, which leads to improved stock market liquidity levels. [less ▲]

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See detailProposition de révisions de l'arrêté n° 018/MEF/SG/DGF/DFCOM du 31 janvier 2013 fixant les procédures d'attribution et de gestion des forêts communautaires
Moumbogou, Carl; Boldrini, Sylvie; Morin, Amélie et al

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailBott type periodicity for the higher octonions
Kreusch, Marie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

We study the series of complex nonassociative algebras $\bbO_n$ and real nonassociative algebras $\bbO_{p,q}$ introduced in~\cite{MGO2011}. These algebras generalize the classical algebras of octonions ... [more ▼]

We study the series of complex nonassociative algebras $\bbO_n$ and real nonassociative algebras $\bbO_{p,q}$ introduced in~\cite{MGO2011}. These algebras generalize the classical algebras of octonions and Clifford algebras. The algebras $\bbO_{n}$ and $\bbO_{p,q}$ with $p+q=n$ have a natural $\Z_2^n$-grading, and they are characterized by cubic forms over the field $\Z_2$. We establish a periodicity for the algebras~$\bbO_{n}$ and $\bbO_{p,q}$ similar to that of the Clifford algebras $\mathrm{Cl}_{n}$ and~$\mathrm{Cl}_{p,q}$. [less ▲]

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See detailLettre d'information trimestrielle n° 13 du projet DACEFI 2
Meunier, Quentin; Moumbogou, Carl; Boldrini, Sylvie et al

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailWASP-20b and WASP-28b: a hot Saturn and a hot Jupiter in near-aligned orbits around solar-type stars
Anderson, D. R.; Collier Cameron, A.; Hellier, C. et al

E-print/Working paper (2014)

We report the discovery of the planets WASP-20b and WASP-28b along with measurements of their sky-projected orbital obliquities. WASP-20b is an inflated, Saturn-mass planet (0.31 $M_{\rm Jup}$; 1.46 $R ... [more ▼]

We report the discovery of the planets WASP-20b and WASP-28b along with measurements of their sky-projected orbital obliquities. WASP-20b is an inflated, Saturn-mass planet (0.31 $M_{\rm Jup}$; 1.46 $R_{\rm Jup}$) in a 4.9-day, near-aligned ($\lambda = 8.1 \pm 3.6^\circ$) orbit around CD-24 102 ($V$=10.7; F9). WASP-28b is an inflated, Jupiter-mass planet (0.91 $M_{\rm Jup}$; 1.21 $R_{\rm Jup}$) in a 3.4-day, near-aligned ($\lambda = 8 \pm 18^\circ$) orbit around a $V$=12, F8 star. As intermediate-mass planets in short orbits around aged, cool stars ($7^{+2}_{-1}$ Gyr for WASP-20 and $5^{+3}_{-2}$ Gyr for WASP-28; both with $T_{\rm eff}$ < 6250 K), their orbital alignment is consistent with the hypothesis that close-in giant planets are scattered into eccentric orbits with random alignments, which are then circularised and aligned with their stars' spins via tidal dissipation. [less ▲]

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See detailGlobal power grids for harnessing world renewable energy
Chatzivasileiadis, Spyros; Ernst, Damien ULg; Andersson, Göran

E-print/Working paper (2014)

The Global Grid advocates the connection of all regional power systems into one electricity transmission system spanning the whole globe. Power systems are currently forming larger and larger ... [more ▼]

The Global Grid advocates the connection of all regional power systems into one electricity transmission system spanning the whole globe. Power systems are currently forming larger and larger interconnections. Environmental awareness and increased electricity consumption leads more investments towards renewable energy sources, abundant in remote locations (off-shore or in deserts). The Global Grid will facilitate the transmission of this “green” electricity to load centers, serving as backbone. This chapter elaborates on the concept presenting four stages that could gradually lead to the development of a globally interconnected power network. Quantitative analyses are carried out for all stages, demonstrating that a Global Grid is both technically feasible and economically competitive. Real price data from Europe and the USA are used to identify the potential of intercontinental electricity trade, showing that substantial profits can be generated through such interconnections. [less ▲]

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See detailLettre d'Information N° 12 projet Dacefi
Meunier, Quentin; Mezui Mba, C.; Boldrini, Sylvie et al

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailExperimental Study and Statistical Modeling of an Injection Scroll Compressor Operating with R407c.
Quoilin, Sylvain ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

This working paper describes an experimental study carried out on a refrigeration scroll compressor with and without vapour injection. The test rig designed for that purposed allows evaluating the ... [more ▼]

This working paper describes an experimental study carried out on a refrigeration scroll compressor with and without vapour injection. The test rig designed for that purposed allows evaluating the performance over a wide range of operating conditions, by varying the supply pressure, the injection pressure, the exhaust pressure, the supply superheating and the injection superheating. 97 Steady-state points are measured, with a maximum isentropic efficiency of 64.1% and a maximum consumed electrical power of 13.1 kW. A critical analysis of the experimental results is then carried out to evaluate the quality of the data using a machine learning method. This method based on Gaussian Processes regression, is used to build a statistical operating map of the compressor as a function of the different inputs. This statistical operating map can then be compared to the experimental data points to evaluate their accuracy. [less ▲]

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See detailHedwig Margrethe Elisabeth von Ranzau
Henneau, Marie-Elisabeth ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailNonparametric regression with cross-sectional data: an alternative to conditional product-limit estimators
Heuchenne, Cédric ULg; Laurent, Géraldine ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Suppose the random vector (X,Y) satisfies the nonparametric regression model Y=m(X)+varepsilon, where m(x)=E[Y|X=x] and sigma²(x)=Var[varepsilon|X=x] are unknown smooth functions and the error varepsilon ... [more ▼]

Suppose the random vector (X,Y) satisfies the nonparametric regression model Y=m(X)+varepsilon, where m(x)=E[Y|X=x] and sigma²(x)=Var[varepsilon|X=x] are unknown smooth functions and the error varepsilon has zero mean and finite variance conditionally on X=x. The pair (X,Y) is obtained by cross-sectional sampling involving left-truncated and right-censored responses. The considered model is completely nonparametric but the conditional truncation distribution is assumed to be known. The novelty of this work is twofold: first, it extends the results on cross-sectional data to the conditional case and second, it generalizes the length bias results in the conditional case to right censoring and to any truncation distribution. New estimators for m(.) and sigma²(.) are constructed and relevant tools are used to quickly provide the main asymptotic properties for this kind of estimators. Extensive simulations are carried out and show that the new estimators outperform classical nonparametric estimators for left-truncated and right-censored data (when the truncation model is known). Finally, a data set on the mortality of diabetics is analyzed. [less ▲]

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See detailInflated discrete Beta regression models for Likert and discrete rating scale outcomes
Taverne, Cédric; Lambert, Philippe ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Discrete ordinal responses such as Likert scales are regularly proposed in questionnaires and used as dependent variable in modeling. The response distribution for such scales is always discrete, with ... [more ▼]

Discrete ordinal responses such as Likert scales are regularly proposed in questionnaires and used as dependent variable in modeling. The response distribution for such scales is always discrete, with bounded support and often skewed. In addition, one particular level of the scale is frequently inflated as it cumulates respondents who invari- ably choose that particular level (typically the middle or one extreme of the scale) without hesitation with those who chose that alternative but might have selected a neighboring one. The inflated discrete beta regression (IDBR) model addresses those four critical characteristics that have never been taken into account simultaneously by existing models. The mean and the dispersion of rates are jointly regressed on covariates using an underlying beta distribution. The probability that choosers of the inflated level invariably make that choice is also regressed on covariates. Simulation studies used to evaluate the statistical properties of the IDBR model suggest that it produces more precise predictions than competing models. The ability to jointly model the location and dispersion of (the distribution of) an ordinal response, as well as to characterize the profile of subject selecting an ”inflated” alternative are the most relevant features of the IDBR model. It is illustrated with the analysis of the political positioning on a ”left-right” scale of the Belgian respondents in the 2012 European Social Survey. [less ▲]

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See detailIntentionality as Disposition
Boccaccini, Federico ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailEstimation of the error distribution in nonparametric regression with cross-sectional data
Heuchenne, Cédric ULg; Laurent, Géraldine ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

In this article, we study the nonparametric regression model Y=m(X)+varepsilon where m(x)=E[Y|X=x] and sigma²(x)=Var[varepsilon|X=x] are unknown smooth functions, and the error varepsilon has zero mean ... [more ▼]

In this article, we study the nonparametric regression model Y=m(X)+varepsilon where m(x)=E[Y|X=x] and sigma²(x)=Var[varepsilon|X=x] are unknown smooth functions, and the error varepsilon has zero mean and finite variance conditionally on X=x. The problem consists in estimating the cumulative distribution function of the error in a nonparametric way when the couple (X,Y) is obtained by cross-sectional sampling while the positive response Y can be right-censored. We propose a new estimator for the error distribution function based on the estimators of m(.) and sigma²(.) described in Heuchenne and Laurent 2014. A bootstrap procedure is developed to solve the critical problem of the smoothing parameter choice. We assess the performance of the proposed estimator through simulations. Finally, a data set based on the mortality of diabetics is analyzed. (Heuchenne Cédric and Laurent Géraldine, Nonparametric regression with cross-sectional data: an alternative to conditional product-limit estimators, 2014) [less ▲]

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See detailLa psychologie morale de Brentano
Boccaccini, Federico ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailWhat roles for energy cooperatives in the diffusion of distributed generation technologies?
Bauwens, Thomas ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Whereas a centralized model of electricity infrastructure is still dominant today, many scholars advocate the diffusion of distributed generation technologies, implying geographically dispersed and small ... [more ▼]

Whereas a centralized model of electricity infrastructure is still dominant today, many scholars advocate the diffusion of distributed generation technologies, implying geographically dispersed and small-scale generation units located close to consumers. However, there exist various barriers of different natures to a large-scale penetration of these technologies. In this article, we focus on the behavioral and psychological ones, emphasizing the roles that citizens have to play in this issue. More specifically, we explore a specific way of involving citizens in such diffusion, namely energy cooperatives. After presenting the driving forces of the emergence of cooperative firms in the energy sector, we examine the assets of the cooperative ownership structure from the perspectives of behavioral economics and social psychology. Our analysis enables us to build a model of how cooperatives may enhance consumer engagement in the diffusion of distributed generation technologies. This provides a basic theoretical framework for future empirical research. [less ▲]

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See detailIntegrating the weight of history into the alignment framework: the case of distributed generation technologies
Bauwens, Thomas ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Whereas a centralized energy supply system is still dominant today, the energy sector is currently witnessing the development of small-scale and more geographically dispersed generation units, so-called ... [more ▼]

Whereas a centralized energy supply system is still dominant today, the energy sector is currently witnessing the development of small-scale and more geographically dispersed generation units, so-called distributed generation technologies. So-called "alignment framework" proposes a very useful approach to look at this evolution. Yet, we argue in this paper that this framework does not fully take into account the inertia associated with past technological and institutional choices that may hinder future changes. Relying on the concept of socio-technical lock-in, we illustrate this point with the case of the diffusion of distributed generation technologies. Based on this analysis, we propose an adaptation of the alignment framework to integrate these elements. [less ▲]

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See detailThe role of segmentation and investor recognition trough the lens of cross-listing activity
Mouchette, Xavier ULg; Carrieri, Francesca; Muller, Aline ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailTowards robust GWAS/GWAI protocol development for epistasis detection in context of real-life datasets
Bessonov, Kyrylo ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

The genome-wide association and interaction studies are a common practice these days but the correct application of statistical methods and workflows that consciously select best data processing ... [more ▼]

The genome-wide association and interaction studies are a common practice these days but the correct application of statistical methods and workflows that consciously select best data processing strategies is often missing in many GWA studies. Nevertheless given the multitude of such studies there is little consistency and consensus in data processing workflows and quality control steps. Data selection and filtering is often overlooked or poorly documented. Many times the default settings are blindly used disregarding any adjustments and/or optimizations under the context of specific dataset. In present study we want to bring awareness of paying a closer attention to parameter selection in genome-wide association interaction studies (GWAI). We had tested the impact of LD filtering, selection of epistasis algorithms (BOOST, MB-MDR) and marker selection and prioritization strategies on the final results variability under the context of the Ankylosin Spondolytis (AS) dataset obtained from WTCCC2 [1]. [less ▲]

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See detailA Monitoring Campaign for Luhman 16AB. I. Detection of Resolved Near-Infrared Spectroscopic Variability
Burgasser, A. J.; Gillon, Michaël ULg; Faherty, J. K. et al

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailPhysician induced demand for C-sections: does the convenience incentive matter?
Lefevre, Mélanie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

This paper investigates whether physicians induce demand for C-sections in the days preceding leisure periods. I reject that doctors are meaningfully increasing the number of primary cesareans to ... [more ▼]

This paper investigates whether physicians induce demand for C-sections in the days preceding leisure periods. I reject that doctors are meaningfully increasing the number of primary cesareans to accommodate their own preferences for control of deliveries around holiday Mondays. Using a sample of more than 1,300,000 deliveries, I can estimate that the induced demand due to convenience is close to zero. A small signi cant e ect is found for women having had a previous C-section. While I replicate previous results of lower C-section rates on leisure periods, I show that they are due to the way doctors schedule planned cesareans rather than to an induced demand for reason of physicians' convenience. If induced demand occurs, the decision takes place in the labor room and is not planned in advance. [less ▲]

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See detailSize Matters, Book Value does not! The Fama-French empirical CAPM revisited
Lambert, Marie ULg; Hübner, Georges ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

The Fama and French (F&F) factors do not reliably estimate the size and book-to-market effects. Our paper shows that the former has been underestimated in the US market while the latter overestimated. We ... [more ▼]

The Fama and French (F&F) factors do not reliably estimate the size and book-to-market effects. Our paper shows that the former has been underestimated in the US market while the latter overestimated. We do so by replacing F&F’s independent rankings by the conditional ones introduced by Lambert and Hübner (2013), over which we improve the sorting procedure. This new specification better reflects the properties of the individual risk premiums. We emphasize a much stronger size effect than conventionally documented. As a major related outcome, the alternative risk factors deliver less specification errors when used to price passive investment indices [less ▲]

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See detailAn assessment of cross-listed firms’ diversification potential
Mouchette, Xavier ULg; Muller, Aline ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailA Supervised Machine Learning Approach to Variable Branching in Branch-And-Bound
Marcos Alvarez, Alejandro ULg; Louveaux, Quentin ULg; Wehenkel, Louis ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

We present in this paper a new approach that uses supervised machine learning techniques to improve the performances of optimization algorithms in the context of mixed-integer programming (MIP). We focus ... [more ▼]

We present in this paper a new approach that uses supervised machine learning techniques to improve the performances of optimization algorithms in the context of mixed-integer programming (MIP). We focus on the branch-and-bound (B&B) algorithm, which is the traditional algorithm used to solve MIP problems. In B&B, variable branching is the key component that most conditions the efficiency of the optimization. Good branching strategies exist but are computationally expensive and usually hinder the optimization rather than improving it. Our approach consists in imitating the decisions taken by a supposedly good branching strategy, strong branching in our case, with a fast approximation. To this end, we develop a set of features describing the state of the ongoing optimization and show how supervised machine learning can be used to approximate the desired branching strategy. The approximated function is created by a supervised machine learning algorithm from a set of observed branching decisions taken by the target strategy. The experiments performed on randomly generated and standard benchmark (MIPLIB) problems show promising results. [less ▲]

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See detailParametric conditional variance estimation in location-scale models with censored data
Heuchenne, Cédric ULg; Laurent, Géraldine ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Suppose the random vector (X,Y) satisfies the regression model Y=m(X)+sigma(X)*varepsilon, where m(.)=E(Y|.), sigma²(.)=Var(Y|.) belongs to some parametric class {sigma _theta(.): theta in Theta} and ... [more ▼]

Suppose the random vector (X,Y) satisfies the regression model Y=m(X)+sigma(X)*varepsilon, where m(.)=E(Y|.), sigma²(.)=Var(Y|.) belongs to some parametric class {sigma _theta(.): theta in Theta} and varepsilon is independent of X. The response Y is subject to random right censoring and the covariate X is completely observed. A new estimation procedure is proposed for sigma_theta(.) when m(.) is unknown. It is based on nonlinear least squares estimation extended to conditional variance in the censored case. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established. The estimator is studied via simulations and an important application is devoted to fatigue life data analysis. [less ▲]

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Peer Reviewed
See detailStatistically Bundled Shewhart Control Charts for Monitoring Delivery Chains Systems
Foster, Earnest; Faraz, Alireza ULg; Heuchenne, Cédric ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

Continuous monitoring of Delivery Time variables by means of control charts in a delivery chain is a very recent application of Statistical Process Control (SPC) to the service sector. The aim of the ... [more ▼]

Continuous monitoring of Delivery Time variables by means of control charts in a delivery chain is a very recent application of Statistical Process Control (SPC) to the service sector. The aim of the proposed method is to provide supply chain decision makers with an easy to be managed tool monitoring the current functioning state of the delivery chain. The implementation of SPC control charts makes it possible to limit over-corrections to false alarm conditions and to maintain at an acceptable level the safety stock, with a consequent reduction of the overall management costs of the delivery chain. An illustrative example shows the proposed control chart implementation in a real delivery chain. [less ▲]

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See detailObservations sur l'évolution du coût du Bonus Logement pour la Wallonie
Xhignesse, Guillaume ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

En 2011, les dépenses fiscales relatives à l'acquisition de l'habitation propre atteignaient 1.941,83 milllions d'euros dans le budget fédéral belge, soit 0,53% du PIB national. Dès l'entrée en vigueur de ... [more ▼]

En 2011, les dépenses fiscales relatives à l'acquisition de l'habitation propre atteignaient 1.941,83 milllions d'euros dans le budget fédéral belge, soit 0,53% du PIB national. Dès l'entrée en vigueur de la sixième réforme de l'Etat, ces dépenses seront à charge des budgets régionaux. Au vu des montants importants qui sont en jeu, il est nécessaire d'amorcer une réflexion sur ces aides à l'acquisition. Cette réflexion doit avant tout porter sur l'adéquation de ces aides avec les enjeux actuels et futurs en matière de logement, ainsi que sur les effets réels de ces mécanismes. Si, malgré ces interrogations, les décideurs politiques choisissent de maintenir le système en l'état, il est utile d'estimer quels seront les coûts pour les années à venir. Cette contribution se concentre sur ce dernier aspect du problème, dans le cas de la Wallonie. [less ▲]

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See detailDes royaumes aux nations ? L’Europe barbare aux Ve-VIe siècles
Fialon, Sabine ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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Peer Reviewed
See detailCan meandering flows in shallow rectangular reservoir be modelled with the 2D shallow water equations?
Peltier, Yann ULg; Erpicum, Sébastien ULg; Archambeau, Pierre ULg et al

E-print/Working paper (2014)

In this article, the ability of the 2D shallow water equations to model meandering flows in shallow rectangular reservoirs is discussed. Four meandering flows, of various shallowness, were modelled using ... [more ▼]

In this article, the ability of the 2D shallow water equations to model meandering flows in shallow rectangular reservoirs is discussed. Four meandering flows, of various shallowness, were modelled using the academic flow model WOLF 2D, which includes a depth-averaged k- model accounting for the horizontal and vertical turbulent length-scales. The bottom friction was modelled with the Colebrook-White formula and different roughness heights were considered. A Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) was applied to the simulation results to extract the behaviour of the main structures responsible for the meandering flow. The same POD analysis was also performed for the reference experimental flow fields, obtained by Large-Scale Particle Image Velocimetry. The first two POD modes obtained from the numerical simulations assuming a smooth bottom are in good agreement with the experimental modes in terms of energy, as well as temporal and spatial variations, whatever the shallowness. In contrast, the remaining simulated modes are not well rendered. The effect of an increased roughness height in the simulations is finally discussed. It leads to an improved reproduction of the first two modes and of the following modes, except when significant viscous effects govern in the flow. [less ▲]

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See detailL’intervention militaire internationale au Kosovo
Pierre, Alexia ULg

E-print/Working paper (2014)

This paper aims first to explore the international armed intervention in Kosovo, formalized through the Allied Force Operation headed by the Nato. A second part is dedicated to the legal aspects of this ... [more ▼]

This paper aims first to explore the international armed intervention in Kosovo, formalized through the Allied Force Operation headed by the Nato. A second part is dedicated to the legal aspects of this intervention regarding the international norms. [less ▲]

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See detailThe Airline Container Loading Problem with Pickup and Delivery
Lurkin, Virginie ULg; Schyns, Michael ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

The present paper looks into the problem of optimizing the loading of a set of containers and pallets into cargo aircraft serving multiple airports. Due to the pickup and delivery operations occurring at ... [more ▼]

The present paper looks into the problem of optimizing the loading of a set of containers and pallets into cargo aircraft serving multiple airports. Due to the pickup and delivery operations occurring at intermediate airports, this problem is simultaneously a weight and balance problem and a sequencing problem. Our objective is to minimize fuel and handling operations costs. This problem is shown to be NP-hard. We resort to a mixed integer linear program. On the basis of a professional partner's real-world data, TNT Airways, we perform numerical experiments using a standard B&C library. This approach yields better solutions than traditional manual planning, which results in substantial cost savings. [less ▲]

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See detailQue pouvons-nous attendre du sommet européen de décembre 2013 ?
Dumoulin, André ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Hypothèses autour des décisions attendues du sommet UE spécial défense prévu en décembre 2013 avec les différentes écoles de pensée

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See detailQuadratization of symmetric pseudo-Boolean functions
Anthony, Martin; Boros, Endre; Crama, Yves ULg et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

A pseudo-Boolean function is a real-valued function $f(x)=f(x_1,x_2,\ldots,x_n)$ of $n$ binary variables; that is, a mapping from $\{0,1\}^n$ to ${\bbr}$. For a pseudo-Boolean function $f(x)$ on $\{0,1 ... [more ▼]

A pseudo-Boolean function is a real-valued function $f(x)=f(x_1,x_2,\ldots,x_n)$ of $n$ binary variables; that is, a mapping from $\{0,1\}^n$ to ${\bbr}$. For a pseudo-Boolean function $f(x)$ on $\{0,1\}^n$, we say that $g(x,y)$ is a quadratization of $f$ if $g(x,y)$ is a quadratic polynomial depending on $x$ and on $m$ auxiliary binary variables $y_1,y_2,\ldots,y_m$ such that $f(x)= \min \{ g(x,y) : y \in \{0,1\}^m \} $ for all $x \in \{0,1\}^n$. By means of quadratizations, minimization of $f$ is reduced to minimization (over its extended set of variables) of the quadratic function $g(x,y)$. This is of some practical interest because minimization of quadratic functions has been thoroughly studied for the last few decades, and much progress has been made in solving such problems exactly or heuristically. A related paper initiated a systematic study of the minimum number of auxiliary $y$-variables required in a quadratization of an arbitrary function $f$ (a natural question, since the complexity of minimizing the quadratic function $g(x,y)$ depends, among other factors, on the number of binary variables). In this paper, we determine more precisely the number of auxiliary variables required by quadratizations of \emph{symmetric} pseudo-Boolean functions $f(x)$, those functions whose value depends only on the Hamming weight of the input $x$ (the number of variables equal to 1). [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation and approximation in multidimensional dynamics
Frasso, Gianluca ULg; Jaeger, Jonathan ULg; Lambert, Philippe ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs ... [more ▼]

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs). In real data applications the parameters involved in the DE models are usually unknown and need to be estimated from the available measurements together with the state function. In this paper, we present frequentist and Bayesian approaches for the joint estimation of the parameters and of the state functions involved in PDEs. We also propose two strategies to include differential (initial and/or boundary) conditions in the estimation procedure. We evaluate the performances of the proposed strategy on simulated and real data applications. [less ▲]

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See detailWat kunnen wij verwachten van de Europese top van december 2013 ?
Dumoulin, André ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

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See detailWhat can we expect from the December 2013 European Summit ?
Dumoulin, André ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

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See detailSpline approximation to conditional Archimedean copula
Lambert, Philippe ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

We propose a flexible copula model to describe changes with a covari- ate in the dependence structure of (conditionally exchangeable) random variables. The starting point is a spline approximation to the ... [more ▼]

We propose a flexible copula model to describe changes with a covari- ate in the dependence structure of (conditionally exchangeable) random variables. The starting point is a spline approximation to the generator of an Archimedean copula. Changes in the dependence structure with a covariate x are modelled by flexible regression of the spline coefficients on x. The performances and properties of the spline estimate of the reference generator and the abilities of these conditional models to approximate conditional copulas are studied through simulations. Inference is made using Bayesian arguments with posterior distributions explored using im- portance sampling or adaptive MCMC algorithms. The modelling strategy is illustrated with two examples. [less ▲]

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See detailMulti-period load assignment problem with stochastic load availability
Crama, Yves ULg; Pironet, Thierry ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

In this research, we want to investigate optimization techniques for a generic load assignment problem including a limited fleet of vehicles within a full-truck-load (FTL) multi-period setting including ... [more ▼]

In this research, we want to investigate optimization techniques for a generic load assignment problem including a limited fleet of vehicles within a full-truck-load (FTL) multi-period setting including forecasts on load availability. Several policies are generated from simple heuristics through state of the art approaches such as consensus and restricted expectation algorithms up to the optimization of a subtree of scenarios. Moreover, myopic and a-posteriori deterministic optimizations (including no or fully revealed information) set bounds for policies performance comparisons. Tests are performed for different graphs sizes and sparsity, several distribution laws and number of loads. Performances are compared statistically over paired samples. The robustness of performing policies against a false valuation of the probability distribution is also analyzed. [less ▲]

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Peer Reviewed
See detailUne épaule sur laquelle s'appuyer
Forthomme, Bénédicte ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

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See detailCos: A Typical Example of Hellenistic Religion?
Paul, Stéphanie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

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See detailLe samedi 15 août 778
Rolland, Jean-Noël ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Battle of Roncevaux Pass and his historical context. Roncesvalles is famous in History and legend for the defeat of Charlemagne and the death of Roland in 778, during the battle of Roncevaux Pass, when ... [more ▼]

Battle of Roncevaux Pass and his historical context. Roncesvalles is famous in History and legend for the defeat of Charlemagne and the death of Roland in 778, during the battle of Roncevaux Pass, when Charlemagne's rear guard was destroyed by Basque tribes. [less ▲]

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See detailTransiting hot Jupiters from WASP-South, Euler and TRAPPIST: WASP-95b to WASP-101b
Hellier, Coel; Anderson, D. R.; Collier Cameron, A. et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

We report the discovery of the transiting exoplanets WASP-95b, WASP-96b, WASP-97b, WASP-98b, WASP-99b, WASP-100b and WASP-101b. All are hot Jupiters with orbital periods in the range 2.1 to 5.7 d, masses ... [more ▼]

We report the discovery of the transiting exoplanets WASP-95b, WASP-96b, WASP-97b, WASP-98b, WASP-99b, WASP-100b and WASP-101b. All are hot Jupiters with orbital periods in the range 2.1 to 5.7 d, masses of 0.5 to 2.8 Mjup, and radii of 1.1 to 1.4 Rjup. The orbits of all the planets are compatible with zero eccentricity. WASP-99b shows the shallowest transit yet found by WASP-South, at 0.4%. The host stars are of spectral type F2 to G8. Five have metallicities of [Fe/H] from -0.03 to +0.23, while WASP-98 has a metallicity of -0.60, exceptionally low for a star with a transiting exoplanet. Five of the host stars are brighter than V = 10.8, which significantly extends the number of bright transiting systems available for follow-up studies. WASP-95 shows a possible rotational modulation at a period of 20.7 d. We discuss the completeness of WASP survey techniques by comparing to the HAT project. [less ▲]

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See detailThree sub-Jupiter-mass planets: WASP-69b & WASP-84b transit active K dwarfs and WASP-70Ab transits the evolved primary of a G4+K3 binary
Anderson, D. R.; Collier Cameron, A.; Delrez, Laetitia ULg et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

We report the discovery of the transiting exoplanets WASP-69b, WASP-70Ab and WASP-84b, each of which orbits a bright star (V~10). WASP-69b is a bloated Saturn-mass planet (0.26 M$_{\rm Jup}$, 1.06 R$_{\rm ... [more ▼]

We report the discovery of the transiting exoplanets WASP-69b, WASP-70Ab and WASP-84b, each of which orbits a bright star (V~10). WASP-69b is a bloated Saturn-mass planet (0.26 M$_{\rm Jup}$, 1.06 R$_{\rm Jup}$) in a 3.868-d period around an active mid-K dwarf. We estimate a stellar age of 1 Gyr from both gyrochronological and age-activity relations, though an alternative gyrochronological relation suggests an age of 3 Gyr. ROSAT detected X-rays at a distance of 60$\pm$27 arcsec from WASP-69. If the star is the source then the planet could be undergoing mass-loss at a rate of ~10$^{12}$ g s$^{-1}$. This is 1-2 orders of magnitude higher than the evaporation rate estimated for HD 209458b and HD 189733b, both of which have exhibited anomalously-large Lyman-{\alpha} absorption during transit. WASP-70Ab is a sub-Jupiter-mass planet (0.59 M$_{\rm Jup}$, 1.16R$_{\rm Jup}$) in a 3.713-d orbit around the primary of a spatially-resolved G4+K3 binary, with a separation of 3.3 arcsec ($\geq$800 AU). We exploit the binary nature of the system to construct a H-R diagram, from which we estimate its age to be 9-10 Gyr. WASP-84b is a sub-Jupiter-mass planet (0.69 M$_{\rm Jup}$, 0.94 R$_{\rm Jup}$) in an 8.523-d orbit around an active early-K dwarf. Of the transiting planets discovered from the ground to date, WASP-84b has the third-longest period. From a combination of gyrochronological and age-activity relations we estimate the age of WASP-84 to be ~1 Gyr. For both the active stars WASP-69 and WASP-84 we find a modulation of the radial velocities with a period similar to the photometrically-determined stellar rotation period. We fit the residuals with a low-order harmonic series and subtract the best fit from the RVs prior to deriving the system parameters. In each case the solution is essentially unchanged, with much less than a 1-{\sigma} change to the planetary mass. We found... [less ▲]

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See detailThree irradiated and bloated hot Jupiters: WASP-76b, WASP-82b & WASP-90b
West, R. G.; Almenara, J.-M.; Anderson, D. R. et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

We report three new transiting hot-Jupiter planets discovered from the WASP surveys combined with radial velocities from OHP/SOPHIE and Euler/CORALIE and photometry from Euler and TRAPPIST. All three ... [more ▼]

We report three new transiting hot-Jupiter planets discovered from the WASP surveys combined with radial velocities from OHP/SOPHIE and Euler/CORALIE and photometry from Euler and TRAPPIST. All three planets are inflated, with radii 1.7-1.8 Rjup. All orbit hot stars, F5-F7, and all three stars have evolved, post-MS radii (1.7-2.2 Rsun). Thus the three planets, with orbits of 1.8-3.9 d, are among the most irradiated planets known. This reinforces the correlation between inflated planets and stellar irradiation. [less ▲]

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See detailRevealed preference tests of collectively rational consumption behavior: formulations and algorithms
Talla Nobibon, Fabrice; Cherchye, Laurens; Crama, Yves ULg et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

This paper focuses on revealed preference tests of the collective model of household consumption. We start by showing that the decision problems corresponding to testing collective rationality are {\sc np ... [more ▼]

This paper focuses on revealed preference tests of the collective model of household consumption. We start by showing that the decision problems corresponding to testing collective rationality are {\sc np}-complete. This makes the application of these tests problematic for (increasingly available) large(r) scale data sets. We then present two approaches to overcome this negative result. First, we introduce exact algorithms based on mixed-integer programming ({\sc mip}) formulations of the collective rationality tests, which can be usefully applied to medium sized data sets. Next, we propose simulated annealing heuristics, which allow for efficient testing of the collective model in the case of large data sets. We illustrate our methods by a number of computational experiments based on Dutch labor supply data. [less ▲]

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See detailSearching for Terrestrial Planets Orbiting in the Habitable Zone of Ultra-Cool Stars and Brown Dwarfs
Demory, Brice-Olivier; Seager, Sara; Lissauer, Jack et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

We propose to use Kepler in 2-wheel mode to conduct a detailed search for Earth-sized planets orbiting ultra-cool stars and brown dwarfs (spectral types from M7 to L3). This population of objects presents ... [more ▼]

We propose to use Kepler in 2-wheel mode to conduct a detailed search for Earth-sized planets orbiting ultra-cool stars and brown dwarfs (spectral types from M7 to L3). This population of objects presents several advantages for exoplanet surveys. First, ultra-cool stars and brown dwarfs are small and thus result in favorable planet-to-star area ratios. Second, because of their low effective temperature, the inner edge of their habitable zone is extremely close (2 to 3 days only). Third, our targets are bright at infrared wavelengths, which will enable detailed follow-up studies. Our program therefore represents a unique opportunity to find a transiting Earth-size exoplanet for which atmospheric features (including biosignatures) could be detected with near-to-come facilities such as JWST. Such exoplanet has not been discovered yet. Kepler in 2-wheel mode provides the required stability and photometric precision to make this survey successful. Our initial target sample includes 60 ultra-cool stars and brown dwarfs from which we expect to detect at least one transiting planet. We propose to monitor each source for 4 days, resulting in a total program duration of ~240 days. [less ▲]

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See detailLettre d'information trimestrielle du projet DACEFI 2 - Retour sur l'attribution des premières forêts communautaires du Gabon
Meunier, Quentin; Moumbogou, Carl; Morin, Amélie et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Detailed reference viewed: 28 (3 ULg)
See detailPhysician Induced Demand for C-Sections: Does the Convenience Incentive Matter?
Lefevre, Mélanie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

This paper investigates whether physicians induce demand for C-sections in the days preceding leisure periods. I reject that doctors are meaningfully increasing the number of cesareans to accommodate ... [more ▼]

This paper investigates whether physicians induce demand for C-sections in the days preceding leisure periods. I reject that doctors are meaningfully increasing the number of cesareans to accommodate their own preferences for control of deliveries around holiday Mondays. Using a sample of more than 1,300,000 deliveries, I can precisely estimate that the induced demand due to convenience is close to zero. While I replicate previous results of lower C-section rates on leisure periods, I show that they are due to the way doctors schedule planned cesareans rather than to an induced demand for reason of physicians' convenience. [less ▲]

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See detailInvestir Ou Mourir ? Il Faut Choisir…
Choffray, Jean-Marie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Investir : c’est croire en l’avenir. C’est renoncer en partie au présent pour donner vie au futur. C’est tourner le dos aux « Bouffeurs d’espoir » et à l’illusoire confort du statu quo. Enfin, et surtout ... [more ▼]

Investir : c’est croire en l’avenir. C’est renoncer en partie au présent pour donner vie au futur. C’est tourner le dos aux « Bouffeurs d’espoir » et à l’illusoire confort du statu quo. Enfin, et surtout, c’est oser «Oser » ! La distance séparant le discours public de la performance économique avérée suffit à démontrer l’incompréhension des mécanismes de création de richesse de ceux qui sont censés en avoir la maîtrise et les mettre en œuvre. Il est peu de domaines où les illusions, et autres idées fausses, ont un succès tel qu’elles amènent l’observateur aguerri à s’interroger sur le profit que d’aucuns pourraient en tirer. L’objet de ce document est de partager le fruit d’une réflexion menée sur le thème de l’Investissement, forme proéminente et condition première de l’activité économique, au moment où certains s’interrogent sur son encadrement et cherchent à en limiter la liberté. [less ▲]

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See detailLes Draps de lit
Demoulin, Laurent ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Les Draps de lit est une pièce de théâtre inédite de Jean-Philippe Toussaint, antérieure à La Salle de bain. Elle est ici éditée avec un apparat critique: variantes et notes critiques.

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See detailChicago Gospel Festival June 2013
Sacré, Robert ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Compte-rendu avec photos

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See detailLa gouvernance des coopératives en situation de conflit et de post-conflit
Niyungeko, Thadée ULg; Huybrechts, Benjamin ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

If governance has become, for many years, as a matter of paramount importance in traditional companies (Berle & Means, 1932), microfinance institutions have also not escaped this need (Rock et al. 1998 ... [more ▼]

If governance has become, for many years, as a matter of paramount importance in traditional companies (Berle & Means, 1932), microfinance institutions have also not escaped this need (Rock et al. 1998), there are about thirty years. Considered essential to address issues related to economic and social development (Wélé, 2009), governance is also emerging as an undeniable factor for to strengthen the financial performance and to increase awareness in microfinance institutions (Rock et al., 1998; Labie, 2001 Helms, 2006). Several authors have contributed to the understanding of corporate governance by using a variety of theoretical approaches (Jensen & Meckling (1976), Fama and Jensen (1983a) for Shareholders approach, Freeman (1984), Donaldson & Preston (1995) Hung (1998) for the stakeholder approach, Meyer and Rowan (1977), Mertens (2010), Muth & Donaldson (1998), Berle & Means (1932); Labie (2005a) for alternative approaches). Applied individually in cooperatives and organizations, these approaches have proved rather one-dimensional and illuminate one aspect of the Boards of Directors (Cornforth, 2004). Hence the need for an approach that integrates the insights of these perspectives has been felt. Thus, a perspective in terms of paradox (Cornforth, 2004) helped to highlight the dilemmas, paradoxes and tensions that boards of directors are facing. Several researchers have used this paradox perspective in different organizations (Demb & Neubauer, 1992 Wood, 1996; Sundaramurthy & Lewis, 2003), but it also did not take long. Criticized for focusing only on the board, this perspective paradox is also alleged to ignore the role of contextual factors. However, as argued by DiMaggio & Powell (1983), Meyer and Rowan (1977), environmental factors play an undeniable role in the way organizations make isomorphic. Rijpens & Adam (2011) also point out that the internal and external factors to the organization involved in the debate on the governance model adopted. Hudon and Seibel (2007) argue that conflicts and disasters seriously affect the socio-economic institutions, public governance, networks and social relations of citizens, including those related to the exchange or transfer of financial resources. This article examines the influence of armed conflict on the cooperatives’ governance. It is built around three fundamental questions. (1) What overlay the systems of cooperatives governance? (2) What is the theoretical model of governance adapted to cooperatives working in conflict situations? (3) How an armed conflict does it influence the cooperatives governance? To answer these questions, this article assumes, first, the confrontation of existing theoretical approaches in the literature on corporate governance in general and cooperatives in particular. It then develops a model of governance adapted to the conflict. Finally, that model will be tested after data collect from a qualitative field study based on the triangulation of information resources and interviews with key players in organizations under study in a country where microfinance institutions have evolved conflict situations. The results will be presented in another article. [less ▲]

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See detailLes facteurs de la relation d’agence en niveaux dans la longue chaîne Bailleurs de fonds étrangers - ONG internationales – ONG locales - associations endogènes - bénéficiaires : cas du Burundi
Manirambona, Célestin ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Several studies on the sources of funding for local NGOs in Africa highlight their dependence on foreign donors, while in developed countries, these organizations have multiple resources. Investigations ... [more ▼]

Several studies on the sources of funding for local NGOs in Africa highlight their dependence on foreign donors, while in developed countries, these organizations have multiple resources. Investigations previously done show that the majority of resources of local NGOs come from foreign donors, and most of them are dead at inception due to lack of funding. Before reaching the beneficiaries, financing goes through several players who are related by an explicit contract: Foreign donors - International NGOs - Local NGOs - Endogenous groups - beneficiaries populations. The literature points to the existence of a contractual relationship between the one who runs the activities and the one that funds them. Yet despite this explicit contract, some actors in this chain of relationships are influenced by other factors and / or their interests and make decisions that have no direct links with the mission of the organization. This leads us to ask ourselves two questions: first, the question about the factors that characterize the relationship between actors and secondly whether at all levels, the actors involve other stakeholders. The present paper aims to provide a conceptual and theoretical framework to characterize the agency chain relationship between these different actors. Although there are studies on the application of the agency theory in the governance of Nonprofit organizations, there have been very few studies done on the agency chain relationship between these organizations. It is then necessary to make new theoretical developments on how local NGOs in Africa in general, and Burundi in particular, are funded and governed; and that, in the case where the actors in the chain relationship are in different contexts. To do this, we will first mobilize and apply the agence theory and others theories of governance at this agency chain relationship. We conclude by showing the peculiarity of Africa in general, and Burundi in particular with additional elements that enhance this agency relationship, making then the conceptual model complex. [less ▲]

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See detailLuhman 16AB: A Remarkable, Variable L/T Transition Binary 2 pc from the Sun
Burgasser, A. J.; Faherty, J.; Beletsky, Y. et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Luhman (2013) has reported the discovery of a brown dwarf binary system only 2.01+/-0.15 pc from the Sun. The binary is well-resolved with a projected separation of 1.5", and spectroscopic observations ... [more ▼]

Luhman (2013) has reported the discovery of a brown dwarf binary system only 2.01+/-0.15 pc from the Sun. The binary is well-resolved with a projected separation of 1.5", and spectroscopic observations have identified the components as late-L and early-T dwarfs. The system exhibits several remarkable traits, including a "flux reversal", where the T dwarf is brighter over 0.9-1.3 micron but fainter at other wavelengths; and significant (~10%) short-period (~4.9 hr) photometric variability with a complex light curve. These observations suggest spatial variations in condensate cloud structure, which is known to evolve substantially across the L dwarf/T dwarf transition. Here we report preliminary results from a multi-site monitoring campaign aimed at probing the spectral and temporal properties of this source. Focusing on our spectroscopic observations, we report the first detections of NIR spectral variability, present detailed analysis of K I lines that confirm differences in condensate opacity between the components; and preliminary determinations of radial and rotational velocities based on high-resolution NIR spectroscopy. [less ▲]

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See detailDiscovery of WASP-65b and WASP-75b: Two Hot Jupiters Without Highly Inflated Radii
Gómez Maqueo Chew, Y.; Faedi, F.; Pollacco, D. et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

We report the discovery of two transiting hot Jupiters, WASP-65b (M_pl = 1.55 +/- 0.16 M_J; R_pl = 1.11 +/- 0.06 R_J), and WASP-75b (M_pl = 1.07 +/- 0.05 M_J; R_pl = 1.27 +/- 0.05 R_J). They orbit their ... [more ▼]

We report the discovery of two transiting hot Jupiters, WASP-65b (M_pl = 1.55 +/- 0.16 M_J; R_pl = 1.11 +/- 0.06 R_J), and WASP-75b (M_pl = 1.07 +/- 0.05 M_J; R_pl = 1.27 +/- 0.05 R_J). They orbit their host star every 2.311, and 2.484 days, respectively. The planet host WASP-65 is a G6 star (T_eff = 5600 K, [Fe/H] = -0.07 +/- 0.07, age > 8 Gyr); WASP-75 is an F9 star (T_eff = 6100 K, [Fe/H] = 0.07 +/- 0.09, age of 3 Gyr). WASP-65b is one of the densest known exoplanets in the mass range 0.1 and 2.0 M_J (rho_pl = 1.13 +/- 0.08 rho_J), a mass range where a large fraction of planets are found to be inflated with respect to theoretical planet models. WASP-65b is one of only a handful of planets with masses of around 1.5 M_J, a mass regime surprisingly underrepresented among the currently known hot Jupiters. The radius of Jupiter-mass WASP-75b is slightly inflated (< 10%) as compared to theoretical planet models with no core, and has a density similar to that of Saturn (rho_pl = 0.52 +/- 0.06 rho_J). [less ▲]

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See detailSearch for a habitable terrestrial planet transiting the nearby red dwarf GJ 1214
Gillon, Michaël ULg; Demory, B.-O.; Madhusudhan, N. et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

High-precision eclipse spectrophotometry of transiting terrestrial exoplanets represents a promising path for the first atmospheric characterizations of habitable worlds and the search for life outside ... [more ▼]

High-precision eclipse spectrophotometry of transiting terrestrial exoplanets represents a promising path for the first atmospheric characterizations of habitable worlds and the search for life outside our solar system. The detection of terrestrial planets transiting nearby late-type M-dwarfs could make this approach applicable within the next decade, with near-to-come general facilities. In this context, we previously identified GJ 1214 as a high-priority target for a transit search, as the transit probability of a habitable planet orbiting this nearby M4.5 dwarf would be significantly enhanced by the transiting nature of GJ 1214 b, the super-Earth already known to orbit the star. Basing on this observation, we have set-up an ambitious high-precision photometric monitoring of GJ 1214 with the Spitzer Space Telescope to probe its entire habitable zone in search of a transiting planet as small as Mars. We present here the results of this transit search. Unfortunately, we did not detect any second transiting planet. Assuming GJ 1214 hosts a habitable planet larger than Mars, our global analysis of the whole Spitzer dataset leads to a posterior no-transit probability >=97%. Our analysis allows us to significantly improve the characterization of GJ 1214 b, to measure its occultation depth to be 70+-35 ppm at 4.5 microns, and to constrain it to be smaller than 205ppm (3-sigma upper limit) at 3.6 microns. In agreement with the plethora of transmission measurements published so far for GJ 1214 b, these emission measurements are consistent with both a metal-rich and a cloudy hydrogen-rich atmosphere. [less ▲]

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See detailDo consumers pay more for what they value more? The case of local milk-based dairy products in Senegal
Lefevre, Mélanie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Senegalese consumers seem to prefer local fresh milk-based dairy products rather than the ones produced with imported powder. However, market prices of both products do not appear to be different. This ... [more ▼]

Senegalese consumers seem to prefer local fresh milk-based dairy products rather than the ones produced with imported powder. However, market prices of both products do not appear to be different. This paper addresses this puzzle. First, I confirm the preference for local products. Using choice-based-conjoint data, I evaluate that Senegalese consumers are willing to pay a positive and significant premium for these products. Then, I identify the determinants of prices, based on a unique dataset of milk products characteristics. Evidence suggests that consumers' misinformation regarding the product composition prevents them from allocating a higher price to local milk-based products. [less ▲]

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See detailBlues on The Fox , Blues Festival Aurora June 2013
Sacré, Robert ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

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See detailAn overview of the foundations' sector in Belgium
Mernier, Amélie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

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Peer Reviewed
See detailInnovations in IT Organization Design: Is the Public Sector Really a Special Case?
Markus, M. Lynne; Jacobson, Dax D.; Lisein, Olivier ULg et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

IT organization design, consisting of IT governance (decision rights) and IT organization structure, is believed to affect organizational performance. This paper describes the IT organization design ... [more ▼]

IT organization design, consisting of IT governance (decision rights) and IT organization structure, is believed to affect organizational performance. This paper describes the IT organization design choices of the 50 U.S. state governments. Significant movement toward greater centralization was observed (particularly for IT services). States appeared to have adopted IT organization design innovations previously pioneered in the private sector, contrary to conventional wisdom founded on well-documented differences between the two sectors. Two commonly used explanations of IT organization design choices were examined for their ability to account for the unexpected findings — contingency and institutional theories. Both explanations were partially successful in explaining the results, but further theoretical development is needed to integrate those theories and more empirical research is needed to advance the field’s knowledge of IT organization design. [less ▲]

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See detailL'élargissement vers la Croatie : un succès de la diplomatie européenne
Lika, Liridon ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Ce 1er juillet 2013, après six années de négociations avec l’Union européenne (UE) et de réformes laborieuses, la Croatie deviendra le 28ème État membre à part entière de la famille européenne. Après la ... [more ▼]

Ce 1er juillet 2013, après six années de négociations avec l’Union européenne (UE) et de réformes laborieuses, la Croatie deviendra le 28ème État membre à part entière de la famille européenne. Après la Slovénie, membre depuis 2004, il s’agit du deuxième pays sortant de la dissolution violente de l’ex-Yougoslavie à rejoindre l’UE. Contrairement à son voisin slovène où les hostilités n’ont duré que quelques jours, la Croatie a connu plusieurs années de guerre et de destruction. Raison pour laquelle elle a été confrontée à une longue période de transition. Depuis son indépendance en 1991, tous les gouvernements croates ont engagé, un processus de consolidation de leur État. Ensuite ils ont consacré leur force à l’adhésion de leur pays à l’Organisation du traité de l’Atlantique Nord (OTAN), concrétisée en 2009, enfin ils ont travaillé à leur entrée dans l’UE. Mais quel intérêt l’Union a-t-elle à voir ces pays la rejoindre ? [less ▲]

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See detailQuelques considérations sur la présomption de titularité des droits d'auteur dans la loi du 30 juin 1994 relative au droit d'auteur et aux droits voisins.
Kouembeu Tagne, Jean Jacques ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Nous avons choisi d'axer notre raisonnement sur la problématique de la présomption de titularité des droits d’auteur dans la loi du 30 juin 1994 relative au droit d'auteur et aux droits voisins. Que ... [more ▼]

Nous avons choisi d'axer notre raisonnement sur la problématique de la présomption de titularité des droits d’auteur dans la loi du 30 juin 1994 relative au droit d'auteur et aux droits voisins. Que signifie-t-elle ? Quelles sont les conditions nécessaires à sa mise en œuvre ? Comment les démonter ? [less ▲]

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See detailThe HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets. XXXIV. A planetary system around the nearby M dwarf GJ163, with a super-Earth possibly in the habitable zone
Bonfils, X.; Lo Curto, G.; Correia, A. C. M. et al

E-print/Working paper (2013)

The meter-per-second precision achieved by today velocimeters enables the search for 1-10 M_Earth planets in the habitable zone of cool stars. This paper reports on the detection of 3 planets orbiting ... [more ▼]

The meter-per-second precision achieved by today velocimeters enables the search for 1-10 M_Earth planets in the habitable zone of cool stars. This paper reports on the detection of 3 planets orbiting GJ163 (HIP19394), a M3 dwarf monitored by our ESO/HARPS search for planets. We made use of the HARPS spectrograph to collect 150 radial velocities of GJ163 over a period of 8 years. We searched the RV time series for coherent signals and found 5 distinct periodic variabilities. We investigated the stellar activity and casted doubts on the planetary interpretation for 2 signals. Before more data can be acquired we concluded that at least 3 planets are orbiting GJ163. They have orbital periods of P_b=8.632+-0.002, P_c=25.63+-0.03 and P_d=604+-8 days and minimum masses msini = 10.6+-0.6, 6.8+-0.9, and 29+-3 M_Earth, respectively. We hold our interpretations for the 2 additional signals with periods P_(e)=19.4 and P_(f)=108 days. The inner pair presents an orbital period ratio of 2.97, but a dynamical analysis of the system shows that it lays outside the 3:1 mean motion resonance. GJ163c, in particular, is a super-Earth with an equilibrium temperature of T_eq = (302+-10) (1-A)^(1/4) K and may lie in the so called habitable zone for albedo values (A=0.34-0.89) moderately higher than that of Earth (A_Earth=0.2-0.3). [less ▲]

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See detailUne leçon de Poker Menteur
Choffray, Jean-Marie ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

L’évolution de la situation de la société Exide Technologies (Nasdaq : XIDE) offre à l’investisseur potentiel une superbe leçon de « Poker Menteur ». Dans la mesure où les marchés ne produisent pas ... [more ▼]

L’évolution de la situation de la société Exide Technologies (Nasdaq : XIDE) offre à l’investisseur potentiel une superbe leçon de « Poker Menteur ». Dans la mesure où les marchés ne produisent pas souvent ce type de « Quasi-expérience », j’ai décidé d’en reconstruire l’histoire et d’en suivre le développement. En partageant ces observations, mon objectif est de transformer une décision d’investissement réalisée dans des « Conditions Extrêmes » en une expérience susceptible d’être conceptualisée et transmise à d’autres. De plus, la solution à cette situation exceptionnelle pourrait constituer un cas d’école dans le domaine des partenariats public-privé à susciter dans le cadre de la transition énergétique d’un Etat ou d’une région. Temps réel oblige…, trois révisions de ce document sont prévues, en fin de semaine, dans le mois à venir. [less ▲]

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See detailGabriel package: software for education and research
Olive, Gilles ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Today, personal computers are part of our life either at home, at work or at school. Even if the computer power increases, the software are more and more complicated, asking more and more time for ... [more ▼]

Today, personal computers are part of our life either at home, at work or at school. Even if the computer power increases, the software are more and more complicated, asking more and more time for learning it or for obtaining a result. It becomes important to have in labs as well as at school small fast software using empirical equations. We report here about the use but more particularly the algorithms, the equations and the data sets of three software belonging to the Gabriel package. The first one, Gabriel Nathalie II, is a calculator with many functionality's. It is possible to calculate the pKa or to simulate the chemical shift in 31P NMR of amino-phosphonate. Moreover it is also able to dertimine the thermodynamics data of bisphosphonate binding to human bones. The second one, Gabriel Calculatrice Savon, is used to calculate the amount of alkali needed for making a soap according to the amount and the nature of fat but also the viscosity of some oils at a desired temperature. And at least Gabriel Data Analysis is a software devoted to data analysis. Today, software for research can be used for educational and educational software can be useful for research. [less ▲]

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