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See detailEstimating the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MAR
Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Franco, Bruno ULg; Tedesco, M. et al

in Cryosphere (The) (2013), 7

To estimate the sea level rise (SLR) originating from changes in surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS), we present 21st century climate projections obtained with the regional ... [more ▼]

To estimate the sea level rise (SLR) originating from changes in surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS), we present 21st century climate projections obtained with the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional), forced by output of three CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) general circulation models (GCMs). Our results indicate that in a warmer climate, mass gain from increased winter snowfall over the GrIS does not compensate mass loss through increased meltwater run-off in summer. Despite the large spread in the projected near-surface warming, all the MAR projections show similar non-linear increase of GrIS surface melt volume because no change is projected in the general atmospheric circulation over Greenland. By coarsely estimating the GrIS SMB changes from GCM output, we show that the uncertainty from the GCM-based forcing represents about half of the projected SMB changes. In 2100, the CMIP5 ensemble mean projects a GrIS SMB decrease equivalent to a mean SLR of +4 ± 2 cm and +9 ± 4 cm for the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios respectively. These estimates do not consider the positive melt–elevation feedback, although sensitivity experiments using perturbed ice sheet topographies consistent with the projected SMB changes demonstrate that this is a significant feedback, and highlight the importance of coupling regional climate models to an ice sheet model. Such a coupling will allow the assessment of future response of both surface processes and ice-dynamic changes to rising temperatures, as well as their mutual feedbacks. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimating the p-mode frequencies of the solar twin 18 Scorpii
Bazot, M.; Campante, T.L.; Chaplin, W.J. et al

in Astronomy and Astrophysics (2012), 544

Solar twins have been a focus of attention for more than a decade, because their structure is extremely close to that of the Sun. Today, thanks to high-precision spectrometers, it is possible to use ... [more ▼]

Solar twins have been a focus of attention for more than a decade, because their structure is extremely close to that of the Sun. Today, thanks to high-precision spectrometers, it is possible to use asteroseismology to probe their interiors. Our goal is to use time series obtained from the HARPS spectrometer to extract the oscillation frequencies of 18 Sco, the brightest solar twin. We used the tools of spectral analysis to estimate these quantities. We estimate 52 frequencies using an MCMC algorithm. After examination of their probability densities and comparison with results from direct MAP optimization, we obtain a minimal set of 21 reliable modes. The identification of each pulsation mode is straightforwardly accomplished by comparing to the well-established solar pulsation modes. We also derived some basic seismic indicators using these values. These results offer a good basis to start a detailed seismic analysis of 18 Sco using stellar models. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimating the parameters of a 3-D root distribution function from root observations with the trench profile method: case study with simulated and field-observed root data
Vansteenkiste, Joachim; Van Loon, Jelle; Garré, Sarah ULg et al

in Plant and Soil (2013)

Background and Aims Root length density (RLD) is a parameter that is difficult to measure, but crucial to estimate water and nutrient uptake by plants. In this study a novel approach is presented to ... [more ▼]

Background and Aims Root length density (RLD) is a parameter that is difficult to measure, but crucial to estimate water and nutrient uptake by plants. In this study a novel approach is presented to characterize the 3-D root length distribution by supplementing data of the 3-D distribution of root intersections with data of root length density from a limited number of soil cores. Methods The method was evaluated in a virtual experiment using the RootTyp model and a field experiment with cauliflower (Brassica oleracea L. botrytis) and leek (Allium porrum, L.). Results The virtual experiment shows that total root length and root length distribution can be accurately estimated using the novel approach. Implementation of the method in a field experiment was successful for characterizing the growth of the root distribution with time both for cauliflower and leek. In contrast with the virtual experiment, total root length could not be estimated based upon root intersection measurements in the field. Conclusions The novel method of combining root intersection data with root length density data from core samples is a powerful tool to supply root water uptake models with root system information. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimating the parameters of globular cluster M 30 (NGC 7099) from time-series photometry
Kains, N.; Bramich, D. M.; Arellano Ferro, A. et al

in Astronomy and Astrophysics (2013), 555

<BR /> Aims: We present the analysis of 26 nights of V and I time-series observations from 2011 and 2012 of the globular cluster M 30 (NGC 7099). We used our data to search for variable stars in this ... [more ▼]

<BR /> Aims: We present the analysis of 26 nights of V and I time-series observations from 2011 and 2012 of the globular cluster M 30 (NGC 7099). We used our data to search for variable stars in this cluster and refine the periods of known variables; we then used our variable star light curves to derive values for the cluster's parameters. <BR /> Methods: We used difference image analysis to reduce our data to obtain high-precision light curves of variable stars. We then estimated the cluster parameters by performing a Fourier decomposition of the light curves of RR Lyrae stars for which a good period estimate was possible. We also derived an estimate for the age of the cluster by fitting theoretical isochrones to our colour-magnitude diagram (CMD). <BR /> Results: Out of 13 stars previously catalogued as variables, we find that only 4 are bona fide variables. We detect two new RR Lyrae variables, and confirm two additional RR Lyrae candidates from the literature. We also detect four other new variables, including an eclipsing blue straggler system, and an SX Phoenicis star. This amounts to a total number of confirmed variable stars in M 30 of 12. We perform Fourier decomposition of the light curves of the RR Lyrae stars to derive cluster parameters using empirical relations. We find a cluster metallicity [Fe/H][SUB]ZW[/SUB] = -2.01 ± 0.04, or [Fe/H][SUB]UVES[/SUB] = -2.11 ± 0.06, and a distance of 8.32 ± 0.20 kpc (using RR0 variables), 8.10 kpc (using one RR1 variable), and 8.35 ± 0.42 kpc (using our SX Phoenicis star detection in M 30). Fitting isochrones to the CMD, we estimate an age of 13.0 ± 1.0 Gyr for M 30. This work is based on data collected by MiNDSTEp with the Danish 1.54 m telescope at the ESO La Silla Observatory.The full light curves, an extract of which is shown in Table 2 are only available at the CDS via anonymous ftp to <A href="http://cdsarc.u-strasbg.fr">http://cdsarc.u-strasbg.fr</A> (ftp://130.79.128.5) or via <A href="http://cdsarc.u-strasbg.fr/viz-bin/qcat?J/A+A/555/A36">http://cdsarc.u-strasbg.fr/viz-bin/qcat?J/A+A/555/A36</A>Tables 8-10, and Figs. 6 and 9 are available in electronic form at <A href="http://www.aanda.org">http://www.aanda.org</A> [less ▲]

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See detailEstimating the residual distribution in a semiparametric transformation model.
Heuchenne, Cédric ULg; Samb, Rawane; Van Keilegom, Ingrid

E-print/Working paper (2011)

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See detailEstimation and approximation in multidimensional dynamics
Frasso, Gianluca ULg; Jaeger, Jonathan ULg; Lambert, Philippe ULg

E-print/Working paper (2013)

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs ... [more ▼]

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs). In real data applications the parameters involved in the DE models are usually unknown and need to be estimated from the available measurements together with the state function. In this paper, we present frequentist and Bayesian approaches for the joint estimation of the parameters and of the state functions involved in PDEs. We also propose two strategies to include differential (initial and/or boundary) conditions in the estimation procedure. We evaluate the performances of the proposed strategy on simulated and real data applications. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation by simulation of the efficiency of the French marker-assisted selection program in dairy cattle.
Guillaume, François; Fritz, Sébastien; Boichard, Didier et al

in Genetics, Selection, Evolution [=GSE] (2008), 40(1), 91-102

The efficiency of the French marker-assisted selection (MAS) was estimated by a simulation study. The data files of two different time periods were used: April 2004 and 2006. The simulation method used ... [more ▼]

The efficiency of the French marker-assisted selection (MAS) was estimated by a simulation study. The data files of two different time periods were used: April 2004 and 2006. The simulation method used the structure of the existing French MAS: same pedigree, same marker genotypes and same animals with records.The program simulated breeding values and new records based on this existing structure and knowledge on the QTL used in MAS (variance and frequency). Reliabilities of genetic values of young animals (less than one year old) obtained with and without marker information were compared to assess the efficiency of MAS for evaluation of milk, fat and protein yields and fat and protein contents. Mean gains of reliability ranged from 0.015 to 0.094 and from 0.038 to 0.114 in 2004 and 2006, respectively. The larger number of animals genotyped and the use of a new set of genetic markers can explain the improvement of MAS reliability from 2004 to 2006. This improvement was also observed by analysis of information content for young candidates. The gain of MAS reliability with respect to classical selection was larger for sons of sires with genotyped progeny daughters with records. Finally, it was shown that when superiority of MAS over classical selection was estimated with daughter yield deviations obtained after progeny test instead of true breeding values, the gain was underestimated. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation d'un indice de la valeur récréative des forêts
Lejeune, Philippe ULg; Rondeux, Jacques ULg; Verstraete, Philippe

in Mitteilungen der Abteilung für Forstliche Biometrie (1997), 97(2), 20-30

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See detailEstimation de densité par ensemble aléatoire de poly-arbres
Ammar, Sourour; Leray, Philippe; Wehenkel, Louis ULg

(2008)

La notion de mélange de modèles simples aléatoires est de plus en plus utilisée et avec succès dans la littérature de l’apprentissage supervisé ces dernières années. Parmi les avantages de ces méthodes ... [more ▼]

La notion de mélange de modèles simples aléatoires est de plus en plus utilisée et avec succès dans la littérature de l’apprentissage supervisé ces dernières années. Parmi les avantages de ces méthodes, citons l’amélioration du passage à l’échelle des algorithmes d’apprentissage grâce à leur aspect aléatoire et l’amélioration de l’exactitude de la prédiction des modèles induits grâce à une flexibilité plus élevée en ce qui concerne le compromis biais/variance. Dans le présent travail, nous proposons d’explorer cette idée dans le contexte de l’estimation de la densité. Nous proposons une nouvelle famille de méthodes d’apprentissage non-supervisé à base de mélange de grands ensembles aléatoires de poly-arbres. La caractéristique spécifique de ces méthodes est leur passage à l’échelle, aussi bien en terme de nombre de variables que de données à traiter. Cette étude, exploratoire, compare empiriquement ces méthodes sur un ensemble de problèmes de test discrets de taille et de complexité croissantes et ouvre de nombreuses perspectives auxquelles nous prévoyons de nous intéresser. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation de l'accroissement et de la production forestiere à l'aide de placettes permanentes concentriques.
Hebert, Jacques ULg; Bourland, Nils ULg; Rondeux, Jacques ULg

in Annals of Forest Science : a Multidisciplinary and International Journal (2005), 62(3), 229-236

In many permanent national forest inventories the sampling units consist of 3–4 concentric circular plots in which only trees belonging to conventionally prefixed classes of diameter are measured ... [more ▼]

In many permanent national forest inventories the sampling units consist of 3–4 concentric circular plots in which only trees belonging to conventionally prefixed classes of diameter are measured. Assessing increment is rather complex because of the modification in plot composition (“shifting” trees) during the growth’s period between successive inventories. The recommended method has been validated in an unevenaged stand of beech and an evenaged stand of spruce. It takes into account different pools of trees. The estimations of two increment types have been calculated using single plots of constant area and concentric plots. No significant difference has been observed in this validation step using computer simulation. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation de l’impact de différents modes d’exploitation forestière sur les stocks de carbone en Afrique centrale
Durrieu de Madron, Luc; Bauwens, Sébastien ULg; Giraud, Adeline et al

in Bois et Forêts des Tropiques (2011), 308(2), 75-86

There has been little in-depth research to date on logging impacts in Central Africa in terms of carbon emissions. The REDD mechanism (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation), has ... [more ▼]

There has been little in-depth research to date on logging impacts in Central Africa in terms of carbon emissions. The REDD mechanism (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation), has brought this topic to the forefront, with the increase in managed logging concessions and the spread of low-impact logging methods. The aim of this study was to make a meta-analysis covering different experiences reported in the literature. The data collected were applied to a hypothetical logging operation in order to produce a theoretical assessment of its impact on carbon stocks. Our results show that, based on the assumptions used, managed forestry in a conventional logging concession with no forward planning would reduce carbon losses by one tenth, with 10 to 20 m3 of timber extracted per hectare. Most of the carbon savings would result from an increase in the minimum logging diameter. The other gains from low-impact logging would result from improving the design of logging roads, i.e., 5 to 8% of carbon losses due to conventional logging practice. These gains are higher than the error found for the nearest reality measurements made for clear-felled biomass in French Guiana. However, they are much lower than the errors calculated for biomass estimations in several studies available in the literature. In any case, introducing development planning and low-impact logging techniques in timber concessions are able to induce a favourable difference to carbon stocks in Africa’s dense forests. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation de la composition de la carcasse de vaches de réforme Blanc Bleu à l'engraissement par méthode échographique
Cremer, V.; Hornick, Jean-Luc ULg; Clinquart, Antoine ULg et al

in 6èmes Rencontres Recherches Ruminants (1999)

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See detailEstimation de la digestibilité de l'herbe pâturée par le mouton adulte au moyen de la lignine selon Christian. Essais préliminaires.
Thewis, André ULg; Francois, Etienne; Rodriguez, Fernando et al

in Reproduction Nutrition Developpement (1986), 26(1B), 263-264

Excellent agreement was foud between digestibility coefficients of 3 forages determined in grazing sheep by independent methods : nitrogenaand lignin faecal indexes and by the lignin ratio technique ... [more ▼]

Excellent agreement was foud between digestibility coefficients of 3 forages determined in grazing sheep by independent methods : nitrogenaand lignin faecal indexes and by the lignin ratio technique (oesophageal fistulas). Lignin determined by Christian's method, was previously shown to be indigestible in most cases. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation de la disponibilite de la ressource forestiere. Cas d'une essence traitée en futaie équienne monospecifique.
Hebert, Jacques ULg; Laurent, Christian

in Revue Forestière Française (1995), 47(5), 572-580

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See detailEstimation de la fermentescibilité de fourrages et sous-produits tropicaux au moyen du gaz test: étude de quelques facteurs méthodologiques.
Ndimubandi, Albéric; Beckers, Yves ULg; Laouali, A. et al

in 4èmes Rencontres autour de la Recherche sur les Ruminants, Paris, France, 4-5 décembre 1997 (1997)

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See detailEstimation de la fonction rénale chez le patient anorexique
Delanaye, Pierre ULg; Radermecker, Régis ULg; Saint-Remy, Annie ULg et al

in Diabètes & Métabolism (2004), 30

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See detailEstimation de la pollution particulaire naturelle de l’air en 2003 à Niamey (Niger) à partir de données de visibilité horizontale
Ozer, Pierre ULg

in Environnement Risques & Santé (2005), 4(1), 43-49

There is no longer any question that air pollution in the form of large quantities of total suspended particulates (TSP) and particulate matter less than 10 µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM 10) harms human ... [more ▼]

There is no longer any question that air pollution in the form of large quantities of total suspended particulates (TSP) and particulate matter less than 10 µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM 10) harms human health. Deterioration in air quality due to high concentrations of mineral dust from Africa affects the US and Europe, although most of these countries are far from the Sahara. Surprisingly, no estimates of TSP or PM 10 levels near the Saharan dust source are available. Measurements taken at Niamey-Airport in Niger of horizontal visibility, which is reduced by the presence of dust in the atmosphere, allowed us to estimate TSP and PM 10 levels according various relations found in the literature. Both the magnitude and frequency of mineral particle concentrations are very high. The average yearly concentration is estimated at 103 µg.m -3 TSP and 67 µg.m -3 PM 10. These very high particulate levels present a real public health threat to which national and international policy-makers must respond. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation de la population de buffles de forêt, Syncerus caffer nanus, dans le Parc National d’Odzala, République du Congo
Chamberlan, Christelle; Marechal, Corinne ULg; MAUROIS, Céline ULg

in Cahiers d'Ethologie (1998), 18(2), 295-298

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