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See detailSELF BROADENING COEFFICIENTS AND IMPROVED LINE INTENSITIES FOR THE v7 BAND OF C2H4 NEAR 10.5 µm, AND IMPACT ON ETHYLENE RETRIEVALS FROM JUNGFRAUJOCH SOLAR SPECTRA
Vander Auwera, Jean; Fayt, André; Tudorie, Marcella et al

Poster (2014, September)

Relying on high-resolution Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectra, the present work involved extensive measurements of individual line intensities and self-broadening coefficients for the ν7 band of ... [more ▼]

Relying on high-resolution Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectra, the present work involved extensive measurements of individual line intensities and self-broadening coefficients for the ν7 band of 12C2H4. The measured self-broadening coefficients exhibit a dependence on both J and Ka. Compared to the corresponding information available in the latest edition of the HITRAN spectroscopic database, the measured line intensities were found to be higher by about 10 % for high J lines in the P branch and lower by about 5 % for high J lines of the R branch, varying between these two limits roughly linearly with the line positions. The impact of the presently measured line intensities on retrievals of atmospheric ethylene in the 949.0–952.0cm 1 microwindow was evaluated using a subset of ground-based high-resolution FTIR solar spectra recorded at the Jungfraujoch station. The use of HITRAN 2012 with line intensities modified to match the present measurements led to a systematic reduction of the measured total columns of ethylene by -4.1 +/- 0.1 %. [less ▲]

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See detailSelf broadening coefficients and improved line intensities for the ν7 band of ethylene near 10.5 µm, and impact on ethylene retrievals from Jungfraujoch spectra
Vander Auwera, J; Fayt, A; Tudorie, M et al

in Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy & Radiative Transfer (2014), 148

Relying on high-resolution Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectra, the present work involved extensive measurements of individual line intensities and self broadening coefficients for the nu7 band of ... [more ▼]

Relying on high-resolution Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectra, the present work involved extensive measurements of individual line intensities and self broadening coefficients for the nu7 band of 12C2H4. The measured self broadening coefficients exhibit a dependence on both J and Ka. Compared to the corresponding information available in the latest edition of the HITRAN spectroscopic database, the measured line intensities were found to be higher by about 10 % for high J lines in the P branch and lower by about 5 % for high J lines of the R branch, varying between these two limits roughly linearly with the line positions. The impact of the presently measured line intensities on retrievals of atmospheric ethylene in the 949.0-952.0 cm-1 microwindow was evaluated using a subset of ground-based high-resolution FTIR solar spectra recorded at the Jungfraujoch station. The use of HITRAN 2012 with line intensities modified to match the present measurements led to a systematic reduction of the measured total columns of ethylene by -4.1+/-0.1 %. [less ▲]

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See detailSelf broadening coefficients and improved line intensities for the n7 band of C2H4 near 10.5 mm, and impact on ethylene retrievals from Jungfraujoch solar spectra
Vander Auwera, Jean; Fayt, André; Tudorie, Marcela et al

Poster (2014, July 10)

Ethylene (ethene, C2H4) is a tropospheric pollutant on the Earth, also present as a by-product of methane photochemistry in the atmosphere of outer solar system bodies. Remote sensing of ethylene in the ... [more ▼]

Ethylene (ethene, C2H4) is a tropospheric pollutant on the Earth, also present as a by-product of methane photochemistry in the atmosphere of outer solar system bodies. Remote sensing of ethylene in the infrared range relies on the 10 mm region. This spectral range corresponds to the excitation of 7 modes of vibration of 12C2H4, 4 of which being infrared active (see Fig. 1 of [1]). The corresponding n10, n7, n4 and n12 bands are located near 826, 949, 1026 and 1442 cm-1, respectively [1]. Among these, the n7 band is the strongest, indeed used for remote sensing measurements of ethylene. Relying on high-resolution Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectra recorded in Brussels, the present work involved extensive measurements of individual line intensities and self broadening coefficients for the n7 band of 12C2H4. Compared to the corresponding information available in the latest edition of the HITRAN spectroscopic database (HITRAN 2012 [2]), the measured line intensities were found to be higher by about 10 % for high J lines in the P branch and lower by about 5 % for high J lines of the R branch, varying between these two limits roughly linearly with the line positions. Test calculations performed in this work indicated that these discrepancies could result from the relative values of the transition moments of the n10, n7 and n12 bands used when the information provided in HITRAN was generated (the transition moment of the n4 band was set to zero). The measured self broadening coefficients exhibit a dependence on both J and Ka, which was modeled empirically. The spectroscopic information for ethylene available in HITRAN 2012 was modified to match the present observations. The impact of these modifications on retrievals of atmospheric ethylene was then evaluated via FTIR retrievals in the 949.0 – 952.0 cm-1 microwindow, from a subset of ground-based high-resolution FTIR solar spectra recorded at the Jungfraujoch station. The new line intensities were found to lead to a reduction of the measured total columns of ethylene by -4.1±0.1 %, compared to the use of HITRAN 2012. [less ▲]

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See detailCarbon monoxide retrieved from ground based FTIR remote sensing in the mid-­‐ and near infrared spectral region
Petri, Christof; Blumenstock, Thomas; Hase, Frank et al

Conference (2014, May 14)

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See detailLong-term evolution and seasonal modulation above Jungfraujoch (46.5°N, 8.0°E): Optimisation of the retrieval strategy, comparison with model and independant observations
Bader, Whitney ULg; Stavrakou, T; Muller, J-F et al

in Atmospheric Measurement Techniques. Papers in Open Discussion (2014), 7

Methanol (CH3OH) is the second most abundant organic compound in the Earth's atmosphere after methane. In this work, we present the first long-term time series of methanol total, lower tropospheric and ... [more ▼]

Methanol (CH3OH) is the second most abundant organic compound in the Earth's atmosphere after methane. In this work, we present the first long-term time series of methanol total, lower tropospheric and upper tropospheric-lower stratospheric partial columns derived from the analysis of high resolution Fourier transform infrared solar spectra recorded at the Jungfraujoch station (46.5° N, 3580 m a.s.l.). The retrieval of methanol is very challenging due to strong absorptions of ozone in the region of the selected υ8 band of CH3OH. Two wide spectral intervals have been defined and adjusted in order to maximize the information content. Methanol does not exhibit a significant trend over the 1995–2012 time period, but a strong seasonal modulation characterized by maximum values and variability in June–July, minimum columns in winter and a peak-to-peak amplitude of 130%. In situ measurements performed at the Jungfraujoch and ACE-FTS occultations give similar results for the methanol seasonal variation. The total and lower tropospheric columns are also compared with IMAGESv2 model simulations. There is no systematic bias between the observations and IMAGESv2 but the model underestimates the peak-to-peak amplitude of the seasonal modulations. [less ▲]

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See detailLong-term evolution and seasonal modulation above Jungfraujoch (46.5°N, 8.0°E): Optimisation of the retrieval strategy, comparison with model and independant observations
Bader, Whitney ULg; Stavrakou, J; Muller, J-F et al

Poster (2014, May)

Methanol (CH3OH) is the second most abundant organic compound in the Earth’s atmosphere after methane. In this work, we present the first long-term time series of methanol total, lower tropospheric and ... [more ▼]

Methanol (CH3OH) is the second most abundant organic compound in the Earth’s atmosphere after methane. In this work, we present the first long-term time series of methanol total, lower tropospheric and upper tropospheric-lower stratospheric partial columns derived from the analysis of high resolution Fourier transform infrared solar spectra recorded at the Jungfraujoch station (46.5°N, 3580 m a.s.l.). The retrieval of methanol is very challenging due to strong absorptions of ozone in the region of the selected 8 band of CH3OH. Two wide spectral intervals have been defined and adjusted in order to maximize the information content. Methanol does not exhibit a significant trend over the 1995-2012 time period, but a strong seasonal modulation characterized by maximum values and variability in June-July, minimum columns in winter and a peak-to-peak amplitude of 130 %. In situ measurements performed at the Jungfraujoch and ACE-FTS occultations give similar results for the methanol seasonal variation. The total and lower tropospheric columns are also compared with IMAGESv2 model simulations. There is no systematic bias between the observations and IMAGESv2 but the model underestimates the peak-to-peak amplitude of the seasonal modulations. [less ▲]

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See detailRetrieval of HCHO from MAX-DOAS measurements at the high-altitude alpine station of Jungfraujoch (46.5°N, 8.0°E)
Hendrick, François; Fayt, Caroline; Franco, Bruno ULg et al

Conference (2014, April 30)

Formaldehyde (HCHO) plays an important intermediate role in the atmospheric photo-oxidation pathways. It is produced during the oxidation of methane and many non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs ... [more ▼]

Formaldehyde (HCHO) plays an important intermediate role in the atmospheric photo-oxidation pathways. It is produced during the oxidation of methane and many non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs) which participate to the formation of tropospheric ozone and secondary organic aerosols. HCHO is also directly released by biomass burning and fossil fuel combustion and to a lesser extent by vegetation. Measuring this species is therefore of major importance for air quality and climate change monitoring. In this presentation, HCHO near-surface concentrations and vertical column densities are retrieved from MAX-DOAS measurements performed at the high-altitude station of Jungfraujoch (3580m asl) in the Swiss Alps from July 2010 till December 2012. Although being most of the time located in the free troposphere, this station can be temporarily affected by pollution events originating from the valley, leading to a local increase of air pollutant concentrations. The capability of the MAX-DOAS technique to retrieve HCHO in such high-altitude location is investigated. The spatial representativeness and the impact of cloud cover on the measurements is also discussed. For verification purpose, our retrievals are compared to collocated FTIR observations, taking into account the difference in vertical resolution between both techniques. Simulations from the 3D-CTM IMAGES are also used to further assess the observed seasonal and diurnal cycles of HCHO surface concentration and vertical column. [less ▲]

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See detailParallel measurements of formaldehyde (H2CO) at the Jungfraujoch station: preliminary FTIR results and first comparison with Max-DOAS data
Franco, Bruno ULg; Mahieu, Emmanuel ULg; Van Roozendael, Michel et al

Scientific conference (2013, October 17)

In the framework of the NORS project, a retrieval strategy for formaldehyde (H2CO) is currently under development, using measurements from ground-based high-resolution FTIR solar spectra recorded at the ... [more ▼]

In the framework of the NORS project, a retrieval strategy for formaldehyde (H2CO) is currently under development, using measurements from ground-based high-resolution FTIR solar spectra recorded at the NDACC high altitude station of the Jungfraujoch (Swiss Alps, 46.5° N, 8.0° E, 3580m a.s.l.). According to the preliminary results, our FTIR retrieval strategy based on Tikhonov regularization has proven able to make an improvement in the process of fitting the H2CO feature within the 2833.070 – 2833.350 cm-1 microwindow from Jungfraujoch solar spectra, compared to a simple scaling. Furthermore, the retrieved total columns present a seasonal cycle averaged over 2005 – 2013 in agreement with preliminary results from UV-visible MAX-DOAS observations, ACE-FTS occultation measurements and simulations from the IMAGES and GEOS-CHEM models. However, FTIR H2CO abundances appear to be underestimated during summertime, with respect to the other data sets. In order to solve this issue, further experiments are planned. [less ▲]

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See detailOverview of the geophysical data derived from long-term FTIR monitoring activities at the Jungfraujoch NDACC site (46.5ºN) and the PYGCHEM project
Mahieu, Emmanuel ULg; Bovy, Benoît ULg; Bader, Whitney ULg et al

Poster (2013, May 07)

We present an overview of the geophysical data deduced from long-term monitoring activities conducted at the Jungfraujoch station by the University of Liège. Typical results and trend investigations are ... [more ▼]

We present an overview of the geophysical data deduced from long-term monitoring activities conducted at the Jungfraujoch station by the University of Liège. Typical results and trend investigations are presented for hydrogen chloride (HCl) and carbonyl sulfide (OCS). We further display and briefly describe time series for new target gases, namely methanol (CH3OH) and HCFC-142b. We also show some preliminary results for ammonia (NH3) and peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN). Finally, we present the PyGChem project, a Python interface to the GEOS-Chem model currently under development at ULg. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimating the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MAR
Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Franco, Bruno ULg; Tedesco, M. et al

in Cryosphere (The) (2013), 7

To estimate the sea level rise (SLR) originating from changes in surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS), we present 21st century climate projections obtained with the regional ... [more ▼]

To estimate the sea level rise (SLR) originating from changes in surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS), we present 21st century climate projections obtained with the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional), forced by output of three CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) general circulation models (GCMs). Our results indicate that in a warmer climate, mass gain from increased winter snowfall over the GrIS does not compensate mass loss through increased meltwater run-off in summer. Despite the large spread in the projected near-surface warming, all the MAR projections show similar non-linear increase of GrIS surface melt volume because no change is projected in the general atmospheric circulation over Greenland. By coarsely estimating the GrIS SMB changes from GCM output, we show that the uncertainty from the GCM-based forcing represents about half of the projected SMB changes. In 2100, the CMIP5 ensemble mean projects a GrIS SMB decrease equivalent to a mean SLR of +4 ± 2 cm and +9 ± 4 cm for the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios respectively. These estimates do not consider the positive melt–elevation feedback, although sensitivity experiments using perturbed ice sheet topographies consistent with the projected SMB changes demonstrate that this is a significant feedback, and highlight the importance of coupling regional climate models to an ice sheet model. Such a coupling will allow the assessment of future response of both surface processes and ice-dynamic changes to rising temperatures, as well as their mutual feedbacks. [less ▲]

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See detailFuture projections of the Greenland ice sheet energy balance driving the surface melt
Franco, Bruno ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Erpicum, Michel ULg

in Cryosphere (The) (2013), 7

In this study, simulations at 25 km resolution are performed over the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) throughout the 20th and 21st centuries, using the regional climate model MAR forced by four RCP scenarios ... [more ▼]

In this study, simulations at 25 km resolution are performed over the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) throughout the 20th and 21st centuries, using the regional climate model MAR forced by four RCP scenarios from three CMIP5 global circulation models (GCMs), in order to investigate the projected changes of the surface energy balance (SEB) components driving the surface melt. Analysis of 2000–2100 melt anomalies compared to melt results over 1980–1999 reveals an exponential relationship of the GrIS surface melt rate simulated by MAR to the near-surface air temperature (TAS) anomalies, mainly due to the surface albedo positive feedback associated with the extension of bare ice areas in summer. On the GrIS margins, the future melt anomalies are preferentially driven by stronger sensible heat fluxes, induced by enhanced warm air advection over the ice sheet. Over the central dry snow zone, the surface albedo positive feedback induced by the increase in summer melt exceeds the negative feedback of heavier snowfall for TAS anomalies higher than 4 °C. In addition to the incoming longwave flux increase associated with the atmosphere warming, GCM-forced MAR simulations project an increase of the cloud cover decreasing the ratio of the incoming shortwave versus longwave radiation and dampening the albedo feedback. However, it should be noted that this trend in the cloud cover is contrary to that simulated by ERA-Interim–forced MAR for recent climate conditions, where the observed melt increase since the 1990s seems mainly to be a consequence of more anticyclonic atmospheric conditions. Finally, no significant change is projected in the length of the melt season, which highlights the importance of solar radiation absorbed by the ice sheet surface in the melt SEB. [less ▲]

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See detailPresent and future Greenland ice sheet surface energy balances with the help of the regional climate MAR model
Franco, Bruno ULg

Doctoral thesis (2012)

See enclosed abstract-and-contents.pdf

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See detailFuture projections of the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance simulated by the regional climate model MAR forced by three CMIP5 global models.
Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Franco, Bruno ULg; Lang, Charlotte ULg et al

Conference (2012, September 11)

As part of the ICE2SEA project, the regional climate model MAR was forced by the global models HadCM3 and ECHAM5 for making future projections of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB ... [more ▼]

As part of the ICE2SEA project, the regional climate model MAR was forced by the global models HadCM3 and ECHAM5 for making future projections of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) over 1980-2099 at a resolution of 25km. However, the comparison with MAR forced by the ERA-40 reanalysis over 1980-1999 shows that MAR forced by these GCMs is not able to represent reliably the current SMB due to biases in the general circulation and in the free atmosphere summer temperature modelled by these GCMs around the GrIS. That is why, we present here first results of MAR forced by the next generation of GCMs from the CMIP5 data base (CanESM2, NorESM1 and MIROC5 here). The comparison with the ERA-INTERIM forced MAR simulations over current climate is a lot of better, which increases the reliability and the interest of these new MAR projections. In addition, the new scenarios (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) of the next IPCC Assessment Report (AR5) are used here. These new simulations show notably that the response of SMB to rising temperature is not a linear function of the temperature anomalies due to the positive albedo feedback which enhances the surface melt. For 2100, in case of extreme rising temperature (RCP 8.5 scenario), MAR simulates a surface GrIS mass loss corresponding to a cumulated sea level rise (SLR) of about 15 cm since 2000! Mainly the changes in SMB and in surface energy balance will be discussed here and estimations of the GrIS surface melt contribution to the SLR using all the CMIP5 outputs will be given. [less ▲]

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See detailImpact of spatial resolution on the modelling of the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance between 1990–2010, using the regional climate model MAR
Franco, Bruno ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Lang, Charlotte et al

in Cryosphere (The) (2012), 6

With the aim to force an ice dynamical model, the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) surface mass balance (SMB) was modelled at different spatial resolutions (15-50 km) for the period 1990-2010, using the ... [more ▼]

With the aim to force an ice dynamical model, the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) surface mass balance (SMB) was modelled at different spatial resolutions (15-50 km) for the period 1990-2010, using the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) forced by the ERA-INTERIM reanalysis. This comparison revealed that (i) the inter-annual variability of the SMB components is consistent within the different spatial resolutions investigated, (ii) the MAR model simulates heavier precipitation on average over the GrIS with diminishing spatial resolution, and (iii) the SMB components (except precipitation) can be derived from a simulation at lower resolution with an intelligent interpolation. This interpolation can also be used to approximate the SMB components over another topography/ice sheet mask of the GrIS. These results are important for the forcing of an ice dynamical model, needed to enable future projections of the GrIS contribution to sea level rise over the coming centuries. [less ▲]

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See detailFuture projections of the Greenland ice sheet climate simulated by the regional climate model MAR forced by 2 CMIP5 global models.
Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Franco, Bruno ULg

Conference (2012, February 14)

As part of the ICE2SEA project, the regional climate model MAR was forced by the global models HadCM3 and ECHAM5 for making future projections of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB ... [more ▼]

As part of the ICE2SEA project, the regional climate model MAR was forced by the global models HadCM3 and ECHAM5 for making future projections of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) over 1980-2099 at a resolution of 25km. However, the comparison with MAR forced by the ERA-40 reanalysis over 1980-1999 shows that MAR forced by these GCMs is not able to represent reliably the current SMB due to biases in the general circulation and in the free atmosphere summer temperature modelled by these GCMs around the GrIS. <br /> <br /> That is why, we present here first results of MAR forced by the next generation of GCMs from the CMIP5 data base (CanESM2 and NorESM1 here). The comparison with the ERA-40 forced MAR simulations over current climate is a lot of better, which increases the reliability and the interest of these new MAR projections. In addition, the new scenarios (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) of the next IPCC Assessment Report (AR5) are used here. These new simulations show notably that the response of SMB to rising temperature is not a linear function of the temperature anomalies due to the positive albedo feedback which accelerates the surface melt. For 2100, in case of extreme rising temperature (RCP 8.5 scenario), MAR simulates a surface GrIS mass loss corresponding to a cumulated sea level rise of about 15 cm since 2000! Mainly the changes in SMB and in surface energy balance will be discussed here. [less ▲]

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See detailInfluence de la résolution spatiale sur la modélisation du bilan de masse en surface de la calotte glaciaire du Groenland
Franco, Bruno ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Erpicum, Michel ULg

Conference (2011, September 07)

By using the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional), we have modelled the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) at 20, 25, 30, 40 and 50km resolution to assess the ... [more ▼]

By using the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional), we have modelled the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) at 20, 25, 30, 40 and 50km resolution to assess the impact of the spatial resolution. As part of the ICE2SEA project, the 25km-resolution SMB outputs of the MAR model are used as forcing fields for ice sheet models, in order to produce projections of the GrIS contribution to sea-level rise over the next 200 years. However, the ice sheet models often run at a higher resolution (typically 5-10km) than the current MAR resolution (25km). Such higher-resolution runs of the MAR model on the same integration domain generate a significant additional computing time and are not doable until now. That is why several enhanced SMB interpolations are tested here in order to reduce biases when interpolating the MAR outputs onto higher resolution, in the framework of the ICE2SEA project. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet
Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Belleflamme, Alexandre ULg; Erpicum, Michel ULg et al

in Blanco, Juan; Kheradmand, Houshang (Eds.) Climate Change - Geophysical Foundations and Ecological Effects (2011)

We present here future projections of the Greenland climate performed by the regional climate model MAR coupled with a snow model and forced by two scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions from the global ... [more ▼]

We present here future projections of the Greenland climate performed by the regional climate model MAR coupled with a snow model and forced by two scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions from the global model CanESM2 of the next IPCC assessment report (AR5). Knowing that MAR forced by CanESM2 over the current climate (1970-1999) compares well with the reference MAR simulation performed by using the ERA-40 reanalysis as forcing, this gives us confidence in our future projections. For the RCP4.5 scenario (optimistic) and respectively RCP8.5 scenario (pessimistic), MAR projects a sea level rise in 2100 of 6.5 +/- 1.5 cm and respectively 14+/-2 cm as result of increasing surface melt of the Greenland ice sheet over 2000-2100. It is true that MAR projects a small increase of snowfall in the winter because the atmosphere will be warmer and therefore can contain more water vapor. But this is not sufficient to offset the acceleration of melt, notably for the scenario RCP8.5 which projects an increase of 10 °C in 2100 above the ice sheet. This work fits in the ICE2SEA project (http://www.ice2sea.eu) of the 7th Framework Program (FP7) which aims to improve the projections of the continental ice melting contribution to sea level rise. [less ▲]

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See detailExplanation of the extreme low surface mass balance over the Greenland ice sheet in 2010 with the help of a regional climate model and a circulation type classification.
Fettweis, Xavier ULg; van den Broeke, Michiel; van de Berg, Willem Jan et al

Conference (2011, April 06)

The regional climate models MAR and RCMO show that the surface mass balance (SMB) rate of the whole Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) is the lowest in 2010 since 50 years. This record is a combination of an ... [more ▼]

The regional climate models MAR and RCMO show that the surface mass balance (SMB) rate of the whole Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) is the lowest in 2010 since 50 years. This record is a combination of an abnormal dry year and an exceptional melt in summer confirmed by ground measurements and satellite-derived observations. An automated circulation type classification (CTC) is used for detecting anomalies in the daily atmospheric circulation at 500hPa over the Greenland ice sheet during 2010. The CTC reveals that the low snow accumulation is due to the general circulation (negative NAO index) while the record melt in summer is rather a consequence of the well known surface albedo-temperature feedback induced by - a warmer and thinner than normal snowpack above the bare ice at the end of the spring. - an earlier beginning of the melt season. - a drier summer. - an exceptional persistence of atmospheric circulations inducing warm and dry conditions over the GrIS. All these anomalies induced in summer 2010 an exceptional time exposure of bare ice areas (with a lower albedo than snow) over the GrIS which impacts the surface melt. Sensitivity experiments carried out by the MAR model allow to estimate the importance of each anomaly in the record simulated melt of summer 2010. [less ▲]

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See detailImpact of the spatial resolution on the Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Balance modelling using the regional climate model MAR with the aim to force an ice sheet model.
Franco, Bruno ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Erpicum, Michel ULg

Poster (2011, April 05)

By using the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional), validated for Greenland at 25km resolution and forced every 6 hours with the ERA-INTERIM reanalysis (Fettweis 2007, Fettweis et al ... [more ▼]

By using the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional), validated for Greenland at 25km resolution and forced every 6 hours with the ERA-INTERIM reanalysis (Fettweis 2007, Fettweis et al. 2010), we have modelled the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) at 20, 25, 30, 40 and 50km resolution to assess the impact of the spatial resolution. As part of the ICE2SEA project, the 25km-resolution SMB outputs of the MAR model are used as forcing fields for ice sheet models, in order to produce future projections of the GrIS contribution to sea-level rise over the next 200 years. Although the current spatial resolution of the MAR model (25km) is much higher than the general circulation models (GCM) resolution (150-300km), the ice sheet models often run at a higher resolution (typically 5-10km). Nevertheless, such higher-resolution runs of the MAR model on the same integration domain generate a significant additional computing time and are not doable until now. Moreover, conventional linear interpolations of the SMB outputs onto a higher-resolution grid, generally induce biases because ice sheet masks at different spatial resolutions do not match and the SMB is a very complex function of the spatial resolution and the topography . That is why several enhanced SMB interpolations are tested here in order to reduce biases when interpolating the MAR outputs onto higher resolution, in the framework of the ICE2SEA project. [less ▲]

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See detailEvaluation of the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance simulated by a regional climate model forced by some selected IPCC AR5/CMIP5 AOGCMs over the current climate.
Fettweis, Xavier ULg; van den Broeke, Michiel; van de Berg, Willem Jan et al

Conference (2011, April 05)

Abstract. As part of the ICE2SEA project, the regional climate model MAR was forced by the general circulation model ECHAM5 for making future projections of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass ... [more ▼]

Abstract. As part of the ICE2SEA project, the regional climate model MAR was forced by the general circulation model ECHAM5 for making future projections of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) over 1980-2099 at a resolution of 25km. For the A1B scenario, MAR projects a highly negative (-500 GT/yr) SMB rate at the end of this century and a induced mass loss corresponding to a sea level rise of ~7 cm over 2000-2100. However, the comparison with MAR forced by the ERA-40 reanalysis over 1980-1999 shows that MAR forced by the 20C3M scenario is not able to represent reliably the current SMB due to biases in the general circulation and in the free atmosphere summer temperature modeled by ECHAM5 around the GrIS. These biases induce in MAR an underestimation of the snow accumulation and an overestimation of the surface melt. Therefore, this questions the reliability of these ECHAM5-forced future projections, knowing that i) these biases could be amplified in future and that ii) the MAR outputs are used to force ice sheets models for the ICE2SEA project. That is why, by waiting the outputs from the next generation of GCMs (CMIP5), we investigate the impacts of current climate biases over the future projections and we suggest corrections of ECHAM5 forcing files for having a better agreement with the ERA-40 forced simulation. This is useful for the ice sheet model wanting to use the absolute values of MAR future projections instead of anomalies. [less ▲]

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