References of "Teller, Jacques"
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See detailA framework to identify housing location patterns using profile Hidden Markov Models
Saadi, Ismaïl ULg; Liu, Feng; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg et al

in Advanced Science Letters (in press)

The determination of comprehensive activity-travel patterns is important in the context of agent-based micro-simulation modelling. This paper presents an improved method based on profile Hidden Markov ... [more ▼]

The determination of comprehensive activity-travel patterns is important in the context of agent-based micro-simulation modelling. This paper presents an improved method based on profile Hidden Markov Models (pHMMs) able to include information related to the agents’ residential locations. As proposed in the framework of Liu et al. (2015), pHMMs only characterize activity-travel patterns from the activity sequences perspective. In this context, information related to the primary activity locations (e.g. home, work) is not available and, as a result, it cannot be extracted from the pHMMs themselves. With respect to this limitation, we propose to apply the framework of Liu et al. (2015) with an extension to include characterization of residential locations. Following the established guidelines, the activity sequences and their related residential locations are extracted from the activity-travel diaries in order to estimate the regularity of the activities as well as their sequential order. Subsequently, within each residential activity, we include a categorization at an aggregate level (provinces). The methodology is powerful as it characterizes any length of sequence, allowing the generation of unlimited agent plans with information about residential location. Regarding data collection, the activity-travel diaries are provided by the Belgian Household Daily Travel Survey (2010). The results obtained after the simulations indicate a good match between the predicted and observed residential locations at both the national and provincial levels. [less ▲]

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See detailAssessment of thermal comfort in existing pre-1945 residential building stock
Kumar Singh, Manoj; Attia, Shady ULg; Mahapatra, Sadha et al

in Energy (2016), 98(March), 122-134

The building sector is the third-largest consumer of primary energy in Belgium. This is partly because of the high percentage of old buildings (buildings constructed before 1945) in its building stock ... [more ▼]

The building sector is the third-largest consumer of primary energy in Belgium. This is partly because of the high percentage of old buildings (buildings constructed before 1945) in its building stock. Existing international standards on thermal comfort focus primarily on new construction and commercial buildings but tend to overlook old buildings. This study involves a thermal comfort assessment of fully functional (in use) residential buildings constructed before 1945 in Liège (Belgium). The research methodology is based on continuous long term monitoring of the indoor environment (November 2011 to May 2012) and followed by comfort surveys for selected houses in the city. The analysis of the collected data shows that family composition, envelope performance and the occupants' interaction with the indoor environment greatly affected occupant preferences and functioning of the indoor thermal environment. This study reveals that the occupants' interaction with the indoor thermal environment to restore comfortable thermal conditions varies throughout the day, by adjusting the temperature in different rooms of the house at different times of the day. This study argues that modern comfort standards have failed to estimate the comfort level in these old buildings and, if applied, they would lead to under estimation of their thermal comfort. [less ▲]

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See detailColor in the urban environment: A user-oriented protocol for chromatic characterization and the development of a parametric typology
Nguyen, Ngoc Luan ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg

in Color Research and Application (2016)

This article presents a user-oriented protocol that can be used to characterize chromatic attributes of an urban area. A need for both affordable and reliable assessment method of color has been observed ... [more ▼]

This article presents a user-oriented protocol that can be used to characterize chromatic attributes of an urban area. A need for both affordable and reliable assessment method of color has been observed in the field of urban design. The challenge is to provide statistical answers to these two questions: how is color organized, how does it develop its own structure in the city? The main purpose of the research is hence to investigate mean color types within the city via the implementation of a characterization tool; an urban area of the four main classes (historic center, periurban housing districts, working-class neighborhoods, and commercial zones) being characterized by a specific color palette, or a layout of specific color types. The developed instrumentation allows the assessment of the homogeneous and consistent features of an urban district. Their characterization protocol was tested through an application to several streets of the city of Liège (Belgium). [less ▲]

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See detailCharacterizing the morphology of suburban settlements: a method based on a semi-automatic classification of building clusters
de Smet, Fabian; Teller, Jacques ULg

in Landscape Research (2016), 41(1), 113-130

Urban sprawl is transforming our landscapes and rural areas at a spectacular pace. Measuring the strength of the phenomenon and proposing dynamic ways to delineate suburban areas have been the object of ... [more ▼]

Urban sprawl is transforming our landscapes and rural areas at a spectacular pace. Measuring the strength of the phenomenon and proposing dynamic ways to delineate suburban areas have been the object of much debate amongst scientists. The present article takes the view that, beyond measuring and delineating suburban areas, more efforts should be directed to qualifying the morphology of built settlements within these areas. Therefore it proposes a method based on a semi-automatic classification system of building clusters, designed to describe and interpret the phenomenon from a morphological perspective. This method is based on a combination of field surveys with numerical analyses of digital land cadastre maps. The application of this classification system to the suburban area around Liege reveals that, far from developing in a complete indifference of local conditions, contemporary suburban settlements are influenced by landscape structures inherited from the past. [less ▲]

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See detailAn integrated framework for forecasting travel behavior using Markov Chain Monte-Carlo simulation and profile Hidden Markov Models
Saadi, Ismaïl ULg; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg et al

in Proceedings of the 95th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board (2016)

Recent advances in agent-based micro-simulation modelling have further underlined the importance of a thorough full synthetic population procedure to guarantee a correct characterization of the true ... [more ▼]

Recent advances in agent-based micro-simulation modelling have further underlined the importance of a thorough full synthetic population procedure to guarantee a correct characterization of the true population. We propose an integrated approach including Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation and profiling based methods to catch the complexity and the diversity of agents of the true population through representative micro samples. The population synthesis method is capable of building the joint distribution of a given population with its corresponding marginal distributions (e.g. age, gender, socio-professional status etc.) using complete, partial conditional probabilities or both of them at the same time. Particularly, the estimation of socio-demographic variables and characterization of daily activity-travel patterns are included within the framework. Data stemming from the 2010 Belgian Household Daily Travel Survey (BELDAM) are used to calibrate the modelling framework. We illustrate that this framework catches in an efficient way the behavioral heterogeneity of travelers. Furthermore, we show that the proposed framework is adequately adapted to build large scale micro-simulation scenarios of transportation and urban systems. [less ▲]

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See detailGuided group purchases of energy renovation services and works in deprived urban neighbourhoods
Ruelle, Christine ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg

in Energy Efficiency (2015)

The energy retrofitting of housings is progressing very slowly in Wallonia (Belgium) despite individual fiscal measures and subsidies offered by public authorities to support households engaging in this ... [more ▼]

The energy retrofitting of housings is progressing very slowly in Wallonia (Belgium) despite individual fiscal measures and subsidies offered by public authorities to support households engaging in this process. This paper explores the use of a method called ‘Guided Group Purchases’ (GPPs), i.e. an approach combining support, guidance and group purchasing of energy renovation services and works, as a possible method to accelerate the retrofitting of the existing housing stock. It reports on an action research experiment conducted in the context of the Interreg project ‘SUN’ (Sustainable Urban Neighbourhoods). The results of this experiment are quite promising. Within a few months, some 80 energy retrofitting interventions (energy audits or insulation works) were implemented in one neighbourhood of the city of Liège. Our evaluation of the experiment showed that the prospect of achieving cost reductions was one of the main initial expectations of participants to the GGPs. Still the participants rather insisted on other benefits after taking part to the initiative. These benefits were mostly related to the guidance they received, to the facilitation with contractors and to the social dynamics generated by the initiative. Several weaknesses were also identified by participants, like the lack of follow-up during and after the works. Our evaluation also highlighted that the main landlords did not participate in the initiative and that the influence of GGPs on costs was limited to specific types of interventions. Despite observed limitations and possible improvements, such a neighbourhood-based approach certainly constitutes a promising avenue for public authorities to support and accelerate the energy retrofitting of private residential buildings in urban neighbourhoods. [less ▲]

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See detailModelling Agents’ Behavior in the Context of River Floods: An Ant Colony based Approach
Saadi, Ismaïl ULg; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg et al

Conference (2015, September)

This paper presents a model for understanding short-term travelers’ behavior in the context of river floods. In several cities, river floods are considerably affecting urban transportation systems. In ... [more ▼]

This paper presents a model for understanding short-term travelers’ behavior in the context of river floods. In several cities, river floods are considerably affecting urban transportation systems. In this regard, decision makers need comprehensive models to define efficient risk management strategies. The dynamic nature of this problem requires an algorithm able to deal with traffic redirecting during the micro-simulation process. Furthermore, a transportation network contains a significant number of links and nodes which lead to large computation times. In this regard, an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm is proposed to solve such combinatorial problems. In a basic ACO, some ants/agents might push the algorithm to converge toward non-optimal solutions. In this context, a MAX-MIN Ant System (AS) approach is included in the algorithm to stimulate the best solutions. In addition, the discrete choice model is adapted to allow more behavioral reactions regarding simulated river floods. [less ▲]

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See detailModelling Uncertainties in Long-Term Predictions of Urban Growth: A Coupled Cellular Automata and Agent-Based Approach
El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg; Saadi, Ismaïl ULg; Cools, Mario ULg et al

in Ferreira, Joseph; Goodspeed, Robert (Eds.) Proceedings of CUPUM 2015 (2015, July 07)

Modelling the growth of urban settlements is of considerable interest for different applications, amongst which integrated flood management. This study aims at modelling urban growth for a long time ... [more ▼]

Modelling the growth of urban settlements is of considerable interest for different applications, amongst which integrated flood management. This study aims at modelling urban growth for a long time horizon up to 2100 and to integrate the model outcomes with a hydrological model for the same time horizon. Forecasting land-use change over such time frames entails very significant uncertainties. In this regard, the main focus of this paper is attributed to the handling of uncertainty in an urban growth model. To this end, we examine a Monte Carlo Simulation method, which is integrated in the proposed urban growth model. Transition probabilities for each non-urban cell are estimated by a coupled Cellular Automata-Agent-Based ap-proach. The results help to handle uncertainty over long time horizons and to assess the increment in degree of uncertainty at every time-step. [less ▲]

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See detailHousing Quality as Environmental Inequality: The Case of Wallonia, Belgium
Lejeune, Zoé ULg; Xhignesse, Guillaume ULg; Kryvobokov, Marko et al

in Journal of Housing and the Built Environment (2015)

First in the USA and then in many other countries, scholarship on environmental inequality has sought to shed light on the unequal environmental conditions borne by poor people and ethnic minorities, and ... [more ▼]

First in the USA and then in many other countries, scholarship on environmental inequality has sought to shed light on the unequal environmental conditions borne by poor people and ethnic minorities, and to challenge public policies and their unjust impacts on those target groups. Housing quality, especially the indoor characteristics of homes, offers an innovative perspective in this field of research. In previous research on environmental inequality in the Walloon context, housing quality has been proven to be a major determinant of quality of life and environmental well-being. This paper analyses housing quality through a twofold approach: through indoor characteristics on the one hand, and outdoor subjective and objective externalities on the other. It reveals the disparities between the most deprived and the wealthiest segments of the population. The evidence for this study is based on a housing quality survey carried out in 2012 and 2013 on 6,018 households in Wallonia (Belgium). The key findings are that poor people are found to live in housing of lower quality, in densely populated neighbourhoods and those with mixed use, with compensating amenities provided at the local level. Moreover, consistent with environmental inequality scholarship, deprived households are found to bear the burden of environmental degradation outside the home. People live in areas with poorer air quality, but are found to benefit from greater access to green spaces. The results of the survey reveal an interesting point concerning the environmental inequality literature; the interior features of housing are found to differ more widely between deprived and wealthier people than the surrounding environment does. [less ▲]

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See detailUrban Development as a Continuum: A Multinomial Logistic Regression Approach
El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg; Cools, Mario ULg; Saadi, Ismaïl ULg et al

in Gervasi, Osvaldo; Murgante, Beniamino; Misra, Sanjay (Eds.) et al Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2015, Part III (2015)

Urban development is a complex process influenced by a number of driving forces, including spatial planning, topography and urban economics. Identifying these drivers is crucial for the regulation of ... [more ▼]

Urban development is a complex process influenced by a number of driving forces, including spatial planning, topography and urban economics. Identifying these drivers is crucial for the regulation of urban development and the calibration of predictive models. Existing land-use models generally consider urban development as a binary process, through the identification of built versus non-built areas. This study considers urban development as a continuum, characterized by different level of densities, which can be related to different driving forces. A multinomial logistic regression model was employed to investigate the effects of drivers on different urban densities during the past decade in Wallonia, Belgium. Sixteen drivers were selected from sets of driving forces including accessibility, geophysical features, policies and socioeconomic factors. It appears that urban development in Wallonia is remarkably influenced by land-use policies and accessibility. Most importantly, our results highlight that the impact of different drivers varies along with urban density. [less ▲]

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See detailLanduse change and future flood risk: an integrated and multi-scale approach
Dewals, Benjamin ULg; Bruwier, Martin ULg; Mohamed El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed ULg et al

in E-proceedings of the 36th IAHR World Congress (2015, June)

The goal of this research is a better understanding of the complex interactions between landuse change and future flood risk. Landuse change is mainly driven by population growth and socio-economic ... [more ▼]

The goal of this research is a better understanding of the complex interactions between landuse change and future flood risk. Landuse change is mainly driven by population growth and socio-economic factors. It affects future flood risk by altering catchment hydrology and vulnerability in the floodplains, as well as through the feedback effect that changes in flood hazard may have on landuse evolution. The research is based on a chain of modelling tools, including: stochastic landuse change modelling, traffic modelling as well as Land-Use and Transport Interactions models, continuous hydrological modelling and efficient hydraulic modelling of floodplains inundation. The coupling of these modelling tools will allow assessing direct and indirect impacts of land use change on future flood risk, while considering the uncertainties related to each of these processes and their combinations at a 2100 time horizon. [less ▲]

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See detailThe stadium of Olympia: a dialogical composition
Kiuri, Miranda; Teller, Jacques ULg

in Montanola, J (Ed.) International Journal Arquitectonics: Architecture, phenomenology & social dialogics (2015)

The article proposes a renewed interpretation of the relation of the antique stadium of Olympia with its built environment. It is argued that the stadium, far from being isolated from the city as commonly ... [more ▼]

The article proposes a renewed interpretation of the relation of the antique stadium of Olympia with its built environment. It is argued that the stadium, far from being isolated from the city as commonly considered, was connected to the Altis through a series of visual relations, adopting principles of dialogical architecture: composition, significant location, functional routes, perceptions, role of architectonic elements and spatial characteristics. This argument is illustrated through computer-generated perspectives of the stadium. [less ▲]

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See detailOlympic stadiums and Cultural heritage: on the nature and status of heritage values in large sport facilities.
Kiuri, Miranda; Teller, Jacques ULg

in International Journal of the History of Sport (2015)

This paper investigates Olympic stadium heritage values and their cultural significance. It outlines the main challenges in stadium conservation through the interplay between bequest and use values. A ... [more ▼]

This paper investigates Olympic stadium heritage values and their cultural significance. It outlines the main challenges in stadium conservation through the interplay between bequest and use values. A value analysis of listed Olympic stadiums reveals that these are characterized by a specific heritage profile, related to the uniqueness and singularity of the buildings, of the landscape and of the sporting event. The history of architecture and sport are clearly interwoven in these places, as Olympic stadiums appear as testimonies of the evolution of sport and its status for past and present societies. Such an interpretation of Olympic stadium heritage could allow a better Olympic and sporting heritage evaluation and conservation, especially if the ensemble of existing Olympic stadiums was considered as a World Heritage network. [less ▲]

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See detailResearch Self-Evaluation Report of the Department ArGEnCo
Collin, Frédéric ULg; Dewals, Benjamin ULg; Elsen, Catherine ULg et al

Report (2015)

Evaluation is nowadays a general trend in the European Universities. At the University of Liège, the evaluation process is threefold: fist there is the evaluation of the bachelor and master degrees, then ... [more ▼]

Evaluation is nowadays a general trend in the European Universities. At the University of Liège, the evaluation process is threefold: fist there is the evaluation of the bachelor and master degrees, then the second evaluation concerns the internal administrations and finally Research activities are being evaluated. This quality policy at the different levels of the Institution is organized by the Vice-Rector for Quality, Pr. Freddy Coignoul and the SMAQ service (Service de Management et d’Accompagnement à la Qualité), which aims to promote, coordinate and disseminate within the University of Liège a culture of the Quality, founded on the values of the Institution. The Research assessment is a procedure undertaken by the University in order to promote the quality of the research in the Departments or research centres. Within the Faculty of Applied Sciences, the evaluation of the Bachelor and Master degrees in Engineering was carried out in 2013 by the AEQES (Agence pour l’Evaluation de la Qualité de l’Enseignement) and CTI (Commission des Titres d’Ingénieur - France). The present report is dedicated to the evaluation of research led in the Education and Research Department (DER) ArGEnCo. The present evaluation report proposes a global presentation of all our research activities. At the Department level, one of the elected members of the Executive Bureau is in charge of the Research, covering both evaluation and quality policy. In October 2013, the Executive bureau appointed a research steering committee, whose fist task was to coordinate the present evaluation report, following the guidelines of the SMAQ service. The draft of such a document arises from the work of the steering committee but also from the contributions of all Department members, who were asked to contribute to the report or to complete databases. The progress of this evaluation report was presented by the Steering committee to the Department Council and during the General Assembly of the Department. Moreover, two Focus groups were organized by the SMAQ service, in order to get the feedback of technician and administrative members on one hand and scientific members on the other hand, on the general organization of the research in the ArGEnCo Department. The reports of these two Focus groups (Appendix 4 in French) underpinned our thinking about our research management. This report is therefore the fist evaluation of the research led in the Department, the present effort should be pursued, and deepened, within the coming years. Some of the databases necessary for the evaluation have been developed in the frame of this procedure. This has resulted in a huge amount of work for every Department members to collect all the data. New procedures in the management of the Department will help establishing the next research evaluation reports systematically, in particular for the collection of the complete dataset. Following the guidelines of the SMAQ service, this evaluation report is divided into two main parts: the fist one focuses on a self-evaluation report of the research activities and the second part presents the Action Plan of the Department for the next five years to come. The self-evaluation report is composed of four Sections: Section one presents the Research organization and topics of the Department, Section two focuses on the Research activities, Section three gives an overview of the mobility (in and out), the attractiveness and the scientific recognition of the Department and finally Section four is dedicated to the resources available in ArGEnCo Department. Each Section ends up with a SWOT analysis. The Action Plan proposed by the Steering Committee results from the analysis of the self-evaluation report, insofar as it synthesizes and prioritizes the actions of the Department for the next fie years. These priorities are formulated as proposals following a contractual approach between research entities and Institution authorities, to whom the report will be presented. [less ▲]

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See detailVers une généralisation des quartiers durables ? Présentation du référentiel d’aide à la conception et à l’évaluation développé en Wallonie et analyse prospective de douze quartiers.
Marique, Anne-Françoise ULg; Delbar, Caroline; Loiseau, Véronique ULg et al

in Urbia (2015), 18

Un référentiel a été développé en Wallonie, à la demande du Ministre de l’Environnement, de l’Aménagement du Territoire et de la Mobilité, pour opérationnaliser le concept de « quartier durable » en ... [more ▼]

Un référentiel a été développé en Wallonie, à la demande du Ministre de l’Environnement, de l’Aménagement du Territoire et de la Mobilité, pour opérationnaliser le concept de « quartier durable » en objectivant les critères minimum à respecter pour inscrire un quartier dans une vision transversale de développement durable. Ce référentiel constitue un cadre général qui régira les projets de quartiers durables menés en Wallonie (Belgique). Les 5 thématiques et les 25 critères qui constituent ce référentiel sont présentés. La grille de critères est ensuite appliquée à douze quartiers de façon à identifier les invariants communs aux processus de conception de ces quartiers et les freins à l’intégration des principes transversaux du développement durable dans les opérations de ce type. Si les critères relatifs aux performances énergétiques des bâtiments ont percolé dans un grand nombre de cas, la mixité des logements et leur accessibilité, la mixité sociale et la participation restent peu abordés. Le référentiel est disponible depuis début 2014 pour tous les acteurs de l’architecture et de l’urbanisme. [less ▲]

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See detailDevelopment of thermal comfort models for various climatic zones of North-East India
Singh, Manoj Kumar ULg; Mahapatra, Sadhan; Teller, Jacques ULg

in Sustainable Cities and Society (2015), 14

Thermal comfort study provides crucial information about thermal performance of naturally ventilated buildings. Humphreys and Auliciems comfort model uses indoor and outdoor temperatures to predict ... [more ▼]

Thermal comfort study provides crucial information about thermal performance of naturally ventilated buildings. Humphreys and Auliciems comfort model uses indoor and outdoor temperatures to predict comfort temperatures. It is found that the comfort temperatures obtained by using these methods do not take into account the occupant behavioral adaptability to a particular climatic zone. This demands development of new set of comfort models based on local environmental parameters, socio-cultural setup and behavioral action. Analysis shows that four major variables like indoor and outdoor temperature, relative humidity and clothing pattern plays an important role in defining comfort and greatly influence the occupant’s perception and acceptance on thermal comfort. In this study, comfort models are developed based on these variables. The computed neutral temperatures based on the models are compared with the comfort temperatures obtained through comfort survey. The models are developed using the measured data of January and July months and validated with the measured data of April and October months. This study also concludes that it is not possible to obtain a generalized thermal comfort model for all climatic zone because adaptation process, expectation and perception of people are region specific and governed by local socio-cultural requirement. [less ▲]

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See detailDe la territorialisation des controverses : métropolisation, déterritorialisation et (re)territorialisation à Beyrouth
Farah, Jihad; Teller, Jacques ULg

in Métropoles (2015), 16

This article deals with modalities of deterritorialisation and reterritorialisation in cities undergoing metropolisation processes. In these cities, territorial evolution is becoming less related to ... [more ▼]

This article deals with modalities of deterritorialisation and reterritorialisation in cities undergoing metropolisation processes. In these cities, territorial evolution is becoming less related to logics of centrality linking the city and its hinterlands. It is more affected by competition logics between different centralities anchored in different local and international actors and place networks, leading to the “deterritorialisation” of the city. This evolution represents a considerable political challenge for urban citizens as well as for institutions in charge of urban regulation. The main answers to this challenge usually aim to bring back coherence through efforts of “reterritorialisation”. This reterritorialisation builds on territorial governance strategies that may deploy on three different scales : metropolitan, regional or local. Through the case of Beirut, this article stresses that, though of different or even opposing nature, these three forms of territorial governance may be simultaneously operating in the same urban context. The article also asserts that focusing on the development of controversies linked to the organization and use of urban space, and mainly to large urban projects, could serve as a framework for understanding the articulation, tension and mutual development of these governances. Controversies push actors to position themselves, build or redefine networks and engage in projects that would transform urban space, resulting in various modalities of reterritorialisation of the city. [less ▲]

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See detailModeling accessibility to schools: the case of Wallonia, Belgium
Maldague, Hubert ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg; Cools, Mario ULg

in Rasouli, Soora; Timmermans, Harry (Eds.) Current Issues in Transportation Research, Proceedings of the BIVEC/GIBET Transport Research Days 2015 (2015)

Several recent studies about school mobility highlighted the significant decline of active modes and public transport's modal shares. Associated with this decline, it can be observed that distances ... [more ▼]

Several recent studies about school mobility highlighted the significant decline of active modes and public transport's modal shares. Associated with this decline, it can be observed that distances between home and schools have been rising the last two decades. To develop appropriate policies alleviating the negative effects of the increased motorization in the school commute, a diagnosis of probable causes is required. To perform this diagnosis, we develop an accessibility-based methodology using data stemming from the Belgian national household travel (BELDAM) survey. Gamma-functions are calibrated to describe the use of different transport modes according to their relative travel times. Data from OpenStreetMap are used to describe the Walloon roads network in terms of the maximum allowed vehicle speed and length for each link. Properties of the network are modified to match with other transport modes. Maps of accessibility to schools are computed for each transport mode by merging the value of access time represented by isochrones and the calibrated gamma-functions. [less ▲]

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See detailMeasuring the Effect of Stochastic Perturbation Component in Cellular Automata Urban Growth Model
El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg; Saadi, Ismaïl ULg; Cools, Mario ULg et al

in Procedia Environmental Sciences (2014), 22(Winter), 156168

Urban environments are complex dynamic systems whose prediction of the future states cannot exclusively rely on deterministic rules. Although several studies on urban growth were carried out using ... [more ▼]

Urban environments are complex dynamic systems whose prediction of the future states cannot exclusively rely on deterministic rules. Although several studies on urban growth were carried out using different modelling approaches, the measurement of uncertainties was commonly neglected in these studies. This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty in urban growth models by introducing a stochastic perturbation method. A cellular automaton is used to simulate predicted urban growth. The effect of stochastic perturbation is addressed by comparing series of urban growth simulations based on different degree of stochastic perturbation randomness with the original urban growth simulation, obtained with the sole cellular automata neighbouring effects. These simulations are evaluated using cell-to-cell location agreement and a number of spatial metrics. The model framework has been applied to the Ourthe river basin in Belgium. The results show that the accuracy of the model is increased by introducing a stochastic perturbation component with a limited degree of randomness, in the cellular automata urban growth model. [less ▲]

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See detailMilieuongelijkheden: een onderzoek naar de woonomstandigheden in Wallonië
Lejeune, Zoé ULg; Xhignesse, Guillaume ULg; Kryvobokov, Marko et al

in Dierckx, Danielle; Coene, Jill; Raeymaeckers, Peter (Eds.) Armoede en Sociale Uitsluiting, Jaarboek 2014 (2014)

This article has two aims. Firstly, to introduce the important environmental inequality scholarship, mostly imported from the USA, in the Belgian context, where few studies have been carried out to date ... [more ▼]

This article has two aims. Firstly, to introduce the important environmental inequality scholarship, mostly imported from the USA, in the Belgian context, where few studies have been carried out to date on this topic. Secondly, to propose an unconventional approach to environmental inequality scholarship by focusing on housing conditions as substantial environmental inequalities. On this latter premise, we based this study on the CEHD housing quality survey carried out in 2012 and 2013 in Wallonia, to test several hypotheses as regards the relationships between housing quality, poverty, and spatial differentiation – discrepancies among population and space. The results confirm most of our research hypotheses, showing important inequalities in terms of housing conditions between wealthy and poor populations, as well as between urban areas, on the one hand, and suburban and rural areas, on the other. Our findings call for new avenues and priorities for housing policies in Wallonia, and for further research on housing quality as environmental inequality: with a focus on a specific target public – single households, and on subjective perception of environmental nuisances in and surrounding home. [less ▲]

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