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See detailDevelopment trajectory of an integrated framework for the mitigation of future flood risk: results from the FloodLand project
Saadi, Ismaïl ULg; Bruwier, Martin ULg; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg et al

in Transportation Letters: The International Journal of Transportation Research (in press)

In this paper, the development trajectory of an integrated framework for the mitigation of future flood risk of the Ourthe river basin in Belgium is discussed. The paper contributes to the state-of-the ... [more ▼]

In this paper, the development trajectory of an integrated framework for the mitigation of future flood risk of the Ourthe river basin in Belgium is discussed. The paper contributes to the state-of-the-art by presenting an integrated multidisciplinary framework capable of making long-term projections (time horizon 2050 and 2100) with the objective of mitigating future flood risk by proposing alternative land-use scenarios. It bridges numerous different fields, including urban planning, transport engineering, hydrology, geology, environmental engineering, and economics. The overall design and validation results of the different sub-modules of the framework are presented, and ongoing and future enhancements are highlighted. [less ▲]

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See detailSpatial hybridization and its implications on housing in Brussels and Amsterdam
Uyttebrouck, Constance ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg

Conference (2017, September 04)

This paper aims to address the effects of labour market mutations on housing through an analysis of “spatial hybridization”, focusing on the qualitative comparison of Brussels and Amsterdam. The objective ... [more ▼]

This paper aims to address the effects of labour market mutations on housing through an analysis of “spatial hybridization”, focusing on the qualitative comparison of Brussels and Amsterdam. The objective is to provide first elements of context, methodology and results of a wider on-going research. In the first section, we highlight underlying trends, in particular the emergence of NWoW in a context of new economy, and current issues on the housing market (flexibilisation, commodification, gentrification). Then, we discuss the relevance of applying path dependence in our research, before presenting our two case-study cities from a historical perspective and pointing out innovative practices and the current public discourse. Finally, we discuss differences and similarities through four elements of comparison: functional mix at the block level, service-oriented housing, economic and housing paths. The discussion is based on our literature review, early policy analysis and interviews with key-stakeholders. [less ▲]

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See detailInfluence of urban patterns on flooding
Bruwier, Martin ULg; Mustafa, Ahmed; Aliaga, Daniel et al

in E-proceedings of the 37th IAHR World Congress (2017, August)

The goal of this paper is to identify the respective influence of different characteristics of urban patterns on urban flooding. A set of 2,290 alternate urban patterns was generated randomly using an ... [more ▼]

The goal of this paper is to identify the respective influence of different characteristics of urban patterns on urban flooding. A set of 2,290 alternate urban patterns was generated randomly using an urban generator tool providing the geometry of buildings and their relative location to the ground, over a square area of 1 km². Steady 2-D hydraulic computations were performed for these 2,290 different urban patterns with identical hydraulic boundary conditions. The computational time was reduced by using an anisotropic porosity model. This model uses relatively coarse computational cells; but preserves information from the detailed topographic data through the use of porosity parameters. Based on the computed maps of waterdepths for the 2,290 urban patterns, a sensitivity analysis based on a multiple linear regression was performed to outline the most influential urban characteristics. [less ▲]

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See detailModèles de porosité pour les inondations urbaines
Dewals, Benjamin ULg; Bruwier, Martin ULg; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg et al

Scientific conference (2017, July 25)

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See detailWal-e-Cities
Schelings, Clémentine ULg; Reiter, Sigrid ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg et al

Poster (2017, May 02)

L’objectif du portefeuille FEDER Wal-e-Cities est le développement de villes intelligentes («Smart Cities») au sein d’un territoire wallon interconnecté. La technologie, vue ici comme un outil au service ... [more ▼]

L’objectif du portefeuille FEDER Wal-e-Cities est le développement de villes intelligentes («Smart Cities») au sein d’un territoire wallon interconnecté. La technologie, vue ici comme un outil au service de la Smart Région Wallonne et de ses citoyens, permettra de répondre à cinq défis principaux identifiés: connectivité, mobilité, énergie et environnement, gouvernance et enfin bien-être en environnement urbain. Les partenaires de ce portefeuille (Universités et Centres de Recherche), et parmi eux l’UR Urban & Environmental Engineering de l'Ulg, oeuvreront au déploiement de solutions dédiées en regard des besoins spécifiques (géographiques, démographiques, socio-économiques et culturels) de chaque ville pilote partenaire. [less ▲]

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See detailHybrid places : a conceptual framework
Uyttebrouck, Constance ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg

Poster (2017, April 27)

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See detail4th Doctoral Seminar on Sustainability Research in the Built Environment Book of Abstracts
Attia, Shady ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg; Mahy, Grégory ULg

Book published by SBD Lab (2017)

The DS2BE is a joint initiative of research groups working on sustainability issues at 8 Belgian universities: ULBruxelles, VUBrussel, KULeuven, UCLouvain, ULiège, UHasselt, UAntwerpen and UGent ... [more ▼]

The DS2BE is a joint initiative of research groups working on sustainability issues at 8 Belgian universities: ULBruxelles, VUBrussel, KULeuven, UCLouvain, ULiège, UHasselt, UAntwerpen and UGent. Conceived as a platform for PhD researchers whose work engages the built environment at different scales in the framework of sustainability, these seminars provide an excellent opportunity for the doctoral students of the partner institutions to present their ongoing research. They will get feedback from a broad panel of sustainability experts, including invited specialists and peers, for furthering their research. PhD candidates can provide submissions that concern topics, such as: - Sustainable Architecture and Resources, materials, re-cycling /re-use, building elements and envelope, building physics, building construction technology, building renovation, drawing lessons from vernacular, bioclimatic design, regenerative design, biomimetic and integrated design, …, - Sustainability theory, sustainability / environmental assessment at building and neighborhood scales, and at the scale of city and regions, - Sustainable urbanism, urban form, landscape and urban ecology, urban green infrastructure and ecosystem services, public space, density, urban infrastructure & transportation, water urbanism, retrofitting of buildings to the built environment, - Methodologically oriented PhDs focusing on issues related to LCA (Life Cycle Analysis), I-O (Input-Output Analysis), MFA (Material Flow Analysis), simulation techniques, to exploring urban metabolism, industrial ecology, environmental modelling, GIS-based land-use change modelling, to Research by Design. [less ▲]

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See detailSystematic flood modelling to support flood-proof urban design
Bruwier, Martin ULg; Mustafa, Ahmed; Aliaga, Daniel et al

Poster (2017, April)

Urban flood risk is influenced by many factors such as hydro-meteorological drivers, existing drainage systems as well as vulnerability of population and assets. The urban fabric itself has also a complex ... [more ▼]

Urban flood risk is influenced by many factors such as hydro-meteorological drivers, existing drainage systems as well as vulnerability of population and assets. The urban fabric itself has also a complex influence on inundation flows. In this research, we performed a systematic analysis on how various characteristics of urban patterns control inundation flow within the urban area and upstream of it. An urban generator tool was used to generate over 2,250 synthetic urban networks of 1 km². This tool is based on the procedural modelling presented by Parish and Müller (2001) which was adapted to generate a broader variety of urban networks. Nine input parameters were used to control the urban geometry. Three of them define the average length, orientation and curvature of the streets. Two orthogonal major roads, for which the width constitutes the fourth input parameter, work as constraints to generate the urban network. The width of secondary streets is given by the fifth input parameter. Each parcel generated by the street network based on a parcel mean area parameter can be either a park or a building parcel depending on the park ratio parameter. Three setback parameters constraint the exact location of the building whithin a building parcel. For each of synthetic urban network, detailed two-dimensional inundation maps were computed with a hydraulic model. The computational efficiency was enhanced by means of a porosity model. This enables the use of a coarser computational grid , while preserving information on the detailed geometry of the urban network (Sanders et al. 2008). These porosity parameters reflect not only the void fraction, which influences the storage capacity of the urban area, but also the influence of buildings on flow conveyance (dynamic effects). A sensitivity analysis was performed based on the inundation maps to highlight the respective impact of each input parameter characteristizing the urban networks. The findings of the study pinpoint which properties of urban networks have a major influence on urban inundation flow, enabling better informed flood-proof urban design. [less ▲]

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See detailA Markov Chain Monte Carlo Cellular Automata Model to Simulate Urban Growth
El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg; Nishida, Gen; Saadi, Ismaïl ULg et al

in GEOProcessing 2017 proceedings, The Ninth International Conference on Advanced Geographic Information Systems, Applications, and Services (2017, March 25)

This paper investigates the potential of a cellular automata (CA) model based on logistic regression (logit) and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to simulate the dynamics of urban growth. The model ... [more ▼]

This paper investigates the potential of a cellular automata (CA) model based on logistic regression (logit) and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to simulate the dynamics of urban growth. The model assesses urbanization likelihood based on (i) a set of urban development driving forces (calibrated based on logit) and (ii) the land-use of neighboring cells (calibrated based on MCMC). An innovative feature of this CA model is the incorporation of MCMC to automatically calibrate the CA neighborhood transition rules. The MCMC based CA model is applied to Wallonia region (Belgium) to simulate urban growth from 1990 to 2000 using Corine Land Cover data (CLC). The outcome of logit model is evaluated by the relative operating characteristic (ROC). The simulated map of 2000 is then validated against 2000 actual map based on cell-to-cell location agreement. The model outcomes are realistic and relatively accurate confirming the effectiveness of the proposed MCMC-CA approach. [less ▲]

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See detailUrbanization and changing flood risk: a multi-level analysis
Dewals, Benjamin ULg; Bruwier, Martin ULg; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg et al

in Bronstert, Axel; Thieken, Annegret; Petrow, Theresia (Eds.) et al The Effects of Global Change on Floods, Fluvial Geomorphology and Related Hazards in Mountainous Rivers (2017, March 06)

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See detailLanduse change and future flood risk: the influence of micro-scale spatial patterns (FloodLand) - 5th progress report
Dewals, Benjamin ULg; Bruwier, Martin ULg; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg et al

Report (2017)

The goal of the project FloodLand is to investigate the complex interactions between landuse change and future flood risk. Landuse change is assumed to be mainly driven by population growth and socio ... [more ▼]

The goal of the project FloodLand is to investigate the complex interactions between landuse change and future flood risk. Landuse change is assumed to be mainly driven by population growth and socio-economic factors. It affects future flood risk by altering catchment hydrology as well as vulnerability in the floodplains; but the feedback effect of (the perception of) changes in flood hazard on landuse evolution is also considered. The research is based on a chain of modelling tools, which represent parts of the natural and human systems, including: landuse change modelling, transportation modelling as an onset for the estimation of indirect flood damage, continuous hydrological modelling (forced by precipitation and temperature data disturbed according to climate change scenarios), as well as efficient hydraulic modelling of inundation flow in the floodplains. Besides reproducing a broad spectrum of processes, the modelling approach spans over multiple scales, from the regional or catchment level down to the floodplain and building levels. This distinctive feature is reflected both within the individual models and through their combination involving fine-scale detailed analyses (or data) embedded within coarser models at a broader level. [less ▲]

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See detailLanduse change and future flood risk: the influence of micro-scale spatial patterns (FloodLand) - 4th progress report
Dewals, Benjamin ULg; Bruwier, Martin ULg; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg et al

Report (2016)

The goal of the project FloodLand is to investigate the complex interactions between landuse change and future flood risk. Landuse change is assumed to be mainly driven by population growth and socio ... [more ▼]

The goal of the project FloodLand is to investigate the complex interactions between landuse change and future flood risk. Landuse change is assumed to be mainly driven by population growth and socio-economic factors. It affects future flood risk by altering catchment hydrology as well as vulnerability in the floodplains; but the feedback effect of (the perception of) changes in flood hazard on landuse evolution is also considered. The research is based on a chain of modelling tools, which represent parts of the natural and human systems, including: landuse change modelling, transportation modelling as an onset for the estimation of indirect flood damage, continuous hydrological modelling (forced by precipitation and temperature data disturbed according to climate change scenarios), as well as efficient hydraulic modelling of inundation flow in the floodplains. Besides reproducing a broad spectrum of processes, the modelling approach spans over multiple scales, from the regional or catchment level down to the floodplain and building levels. This distinctive feature is reflected both within the individual models and through their combination involving fine-scale detailed analyses (or data) embedded within coarser models at a broader level. [less ▲]

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See detailIncentives and barriers to environmental inequality mobilization: A case-study analysis in Wallonia, Belgium
Lejeune, Zoé ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg

in Environmental Science and Policy (2016), 66

Environmental inequality scholarship has sought to shed light on the unequal environmental conditions borne by poor people and racial minorities, and to challenge public policies. Most studies are ... [more ▼]

Environmental inequality scholarship has sought to shed light on the unequal environmental conditions borne by poor people and racial minorities, and to challenge public policies. Most studies are concerned either with assessing the unequal distribution of environmental amenities and disamenities or with exploring the theoretical foundations of environmental justice movements. We propose an original approach to environmental inequality, focused not only on the unequal distribution of environmental burdens but also on two other types of factors: the capacity to mobilize and engage in community organizations on the one hand and the spatial dimension of environmental inequalities on the other. The evidence for this study is from an opinion survey carried out in 2012 with 1298 individuals. We use a two-step cluster analysis method to compute a classification system based on four categories of variables: socio-economic, environmental, spatial, and social capital. [less ▲]

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See detailCellular automata urban expansion model based on support vector machines
El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg; Rienow, Andreas; Saadi, Ismaïl ULg et al

in Mostafavi, Mir‐Abolfazl; Pinto, Nuno (Eds.) PROCEEDINGS of Second International Symposium on Cellular Automata Modeling for Urban and Spatial Systems (2016, October 30)

Land-use change models are used to explore the dynamics and drivers of land-use/landcover change and to inform policies affecting such change. A broad array of applications and modeling methods are ... [more ▼]

Land-use change models are used to explore the dynamics and drivers of land-use/landcover change and to inform policies affecting such change. A broad array of applications and modeling methods are available and each type has certain advantages and disadvantages depending on the objective of the research. This work presents an approach combining cellular automata (CA) model and supported vector machine (SVM) and binary logistic regression model (Logit) for simulating urban expansion in Wallonia (Belgium). This article emphasizes the interest in comparing combining CA with conventional Logit versus combining CA with SVM method as a base of CA model transition rule. Relative operating characteristic (ROC) and spatial matrices are used to validate the model. Model validation shows that the allocation performance of CA-SVM outperformed CALogit approach. [less ▲]

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See detailDeriving cultural heritage values: the use of social media
Ginzarly, Manal ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg

in Old and New Media for the Image of the Landscape (2016, October 28)

Nel 2011 l’UNESCO ha adottato la Raccomandazione sul Paesaggio Storico Urbano che mira al riconoscimento e all'identificazione della stratificazione e dell'interconnessione dei valori - naturali e ... [more ▼]

Nel 2011 l’UNESCO ha adottato la Raccomandazione sul Paesaggio Storico Urbano che mira al riconoscimento e all'identificazione della stratificazione e dell'interconnessione dei valori - naturali e culturali, materiali e immateriali, internazionali e locali – riscontrabili in qualsiasi città storica, concepita come un “patrimonio vivente” delle comunità. In tale visione il patrimonio culturale urbano è un elemento riconosciuto non solo dagli esperti, ma dalle intere società che ne valutano gli elementi identitari mirando a conservarli per le generazioni future. La Raccomandazione, in particolare, sostiene che per l'interpretazione e la conservazione del patrimonio culturale si può beneficiare di metodi di valutazione tradizionali e di metodi innovativi basati su dati geo-localizzati e sui dati digitali dei social media, come tweets geo-localizzati, impronte digitali e foto su Flickr. Il presente contributo illustra una metodologia basata sull’analisi delle immagini su Flickr. Dai risultati ottenuti si è evinto che proprio l’indagine dei social media può contribuire ad una comprensione significativa dei valori culturali del contesto urbano, fornendo così la possibilità di una migliore integrazione dei valori socio-culturali riconosciuti dalla collettività nei processi di conservazione e di pianificazione urbana. [less ▲]

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See detailHousing Quality as Environmental Inequality: The Case of Wallonia, Belgium
Lejeune, Zoé ULg; Xhignesse, Guillaume ULg; Kryvobokov, Marko et al

in Journal of Housing and the Built Environment (2016), 31(3), 495-512

First in the USA and then in many other countries, scholarship on environmental inequality has sought to shed light on the unequal environmental conditions borne by poor people and ethnic minorities, and ... [more ▼]

First in the USA and then in many other countries, scholarship on environmental inequality has sought to shed light on the unequal environmental conditions borne by poor people and ethnic minorities, and to challenge public policies and their unjust impacts on those target groups. Housing quality, especially the indoor characteristics of homes, offers an innovative perspective in this field of research. In previous research on environmental inequality in the Walloon context, housing quality has been proven to be a major determinant of quality of life and environmental well-being. This paper analyses housing quality through a twofold approach: through indoor characteristics on the one hand, and outdoor subjective and objective externalities on the other. It reveals the disparities between the most deprived and the wealthiest segments of the population. The evidence for this study is based on a housing quality survey carried out in 2012 and 2013 on 6,018 households in Wallonia (Belgium). The key findings are that poor people are found to live in housing of lower quality, in densely populated neighbourhoods and those with mixed use, with compensating amenities provided at the local level. Moreover, consistent with environmental inequality scholarship, deprived households are found to bear the burden of environmental degradation outside the home. People live in areas with poorer air quality, but are found to benefit from greater access to green spaces. The results of the survey reveal an interesting point concerning the environmental inequality literature; the interior features of housing are found to differ more widely between deprived and wealthier people than the surrounding environment does. [less ▲]

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See detailForecasting travel behavior using Markov Chains-based approaches
Saadi, Ismaïl ULg; El Saeid Mustafa, Ahmed Mohamed ULg; Teller, Jacques ULg et al

in Transportation Research. Part C : Emerging Technologies (2016), 69

Recent advances in agent-based micro-simulation modeling have further highlighted the importance of a thorough full synthetic population procedure for guaranteeing the correct characterization of real ... [more ▼]

Recent advances in agent-based micro-simulation modeling have further highlighted the importance of a thorough full synthetic population procedure for guaranteeing the correct characterization of real-world populations and underlying travel demands. In this regard, we propose an integrated approach including Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation and profiling-based methods to capture the behavioral complexity and the great heterogeneity of agents of the true population through representative micro-samples. The population synthesis method is capable of building the joint distribution of a given population with its corresponding marginal distributions using either full or partial conditional probabilities or both of them simultaneously. In particular, the estimation of socio-demographic or transport-related variables and the characterization of daily activity-travel patterns are included within the framework. The fully probabilistic structure based on Markov Chains characterizing this framework makes it innovative compared to standard activity-based models. Moreover, data stemming from the 2010 Belgian Household Daily Travel Survey (BELDAM) are used to calibrate the modeling framework. We illustrate that this framework effectively captures the behavioral heterogeneity of travelers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the proposed framework is adequately adapted to meeting the demand for large-scale micro-simulation scenarios of transportation and urban systems. [less ▲]

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