References of "Orban, Philippe"
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See detailA regional flux-based risk assessment approach for multiple contaminated sites on groundwater bodies
Jamin, Pierre ULg; Dollé, Fabien ULg; Chisala, Brenda et al

in Journal of Contaminant Hydrology (2012), 127(1-4), 65-75

In the context of the Water Framework Directive (EP and CEU, 2000), management plans have to be set up to monitor and to maintain water quality in groundwater bodies in the EU. In heavily industrialized ... [more ▼]

In the context of the Water Framework Directive (EP and CEU, 2000), management plans have to be set up to monitor and to maintain water quality in groundwater bodies in the EU. In heavily industrialized and urbanized areas, the cumulative effect of multiple contaminant sources is likely and has to be evaluated. In order to propose adequate measures, the calculated risk should be based on criteria reflecting the risk of groundwater quality deterioration, in a cumulative manner and at the scale of the entire groundwater body. An integrated GIS- and flux-based risk assessment approach for groundwater bodies is described, with a regional scale indicator for evaluating the quality status of the groundwater body. It is based on the SEQ-ESO currently used in the Walloon Region of Belgium which defines, for different water uses and for a detailed list of groundwater contaminants, a set of threshold values reflecting the levels of water quality and degradation with respect to each contaminant. The methodology is illustrated with first results at a regional scale on a groundwater body-scale application to a contaminated alluvial aquifer which has been classified to be at risk of not reaching a good quality status by 2015. These first results show that contaminants resulting from old industrial activities in that area are likely to contribute significantly to the degradation of groundwater quality. However, further investigations are required on the evaluation of the actual polluting pressures before any definitive conclusion be established. [less ▲]

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See detailFlux-based Risk Assessement of the impact of Contaminants on Water resources and ECOsystems
Jamin, Pierre ULg; Dujardin, Juliette; Crèvecoeur, Sophie et al

Report (2012)

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See detailFlux-based risk assessment of the impact of contamnants on water ressources and ecosystems - FRAC-WECO.
Jamin, Pierre ULg; Dujardin, J.; Crévecoeur, Sophie et al

Report (2012)

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See detailModeling climate change impacts on groundwater resources using transient stochastic climatic scenarios
Goderniaux, Pascal ULg; Brouyère, Serge ULg; Blenkinsop, Stephen et al

in Water Resources Research (2011), 47

Several studies have highlighted the potential negative impact of climate change on groundwater reserves but additional work is required to help water managers to plan for future changes. In particular ... [more ▼]

Several studies have highlighted the potential negative impact of climate change on groundwater reserves but additional work is required to help water managers to plan for future changes. In particular, existing studies provide projections for a stationary climate representative of the end of the century, although information is demanded for the near-future. Such time-slice experiments fail to account for the transient nature of climatic changes over the century. Moreover, uncertainty linked to natural climate variability is not explicitly considered in previous studies. In this study, we substantially improve upon the state-of-the-art by using a sophisticated transient weather generator (WG) in combination with an integrated surface-subsurface hydrological model (Geer basin, Belgium) developed with the finite element modelling software 'HydroGeoSphere'. This version of the WG enables the stochastic generation of large numbers of equiprobable climatic time series, representing transient climate change, and used to assess impacts in a probabilistic way. For the Geer basin, 30 equiprobable climate change scenarios from 2010 to 2085 have been generated for each of 6 different RCMs. Results show that although the 95% confidence intervals calculated around projected groundwater levels remain large, the climate change signal becomes stronger than that of natural climate variability by 2085. Additionally, the WG ability to simulate transient climate change enabled the assessment of the likely timescale and associated uncertainty of a specific impact, providing managers with additional information when planning further investment. This methodology constitutes a real improvement in the field of groundwater projections under climate change conditions. [less ▲]

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See detailThe Hybrid Finite-Element Mixing-Cell method: a candidate for modelling groundwater flow and transport in karst systems
Brouyère, Serge ULg; Wildemeersch, Samuel ULg; Orban, Philippe ULg et al

in Bertrand, C.; Carry, N.; Mudry, J. (Eds.) et al Proc. H2Karst, 9th Conference on Limestone Hydrogeology (2011, September)

Groundwater flow and contaminant transport modelling in karst systems remains a challenge because of the complexity of the geology made of caves, voids, conduits of various sizes and forms and interacting ... [more ▼]

Groundwater flow and contaminant transport modelling in karst systems remains a challenge because of the complexity of the geology made of caves, voids, conduits of various sizes and forms and interacting matrix. Such heterogeneous structures cause complex hydraulic conditions for groundwater flow and transport processes. Despite the progresses in field investigation techniques and experiments, detailed knowledge and characterization of the karst system geometry and connectivity remains inaccessible and pragmatic modelling approaches have to be used. Groundwater models of different complexities have been developed for karst systems, ranging from transfer functions and linear reservoir models to spatially distributed models. Here, a new flexible modelling approach, the Hybrid Finite-Element Mixing-Cell method (HFEMC), has been developed that allows combining in a single model, and in a fully interacting way, different mathematical approaches of various complexities for groundwater modelling in complex environments. This includes linear reservoirs, distributed reservoirs, groundwater flow in variably saturated equivalent porous media, with possibilities to consider by-pass flows along preferential flow paths, internal boundary conditions between the karstic features and the surrounding rock mass matrix background and drainage by surface waters. This method has been implemented in the groundwater flow and solute transport numerical code SUFT3D. The objective of this communication is to present the modelling concepts and to discuss the potentials and advantages of the HFEMC method for modelling groundwater flow in karst systems over existing more classical modelling approaches. The discussion is supported by illustrative “synthetic” examples representative of karst systems and a real modelling application to the case of groundwater rebound and water inrush in a closed underground coal mine which presents a very similar geometrical and hydrological context to a karst, with cavities, drains and interacting rock mass. [less ▲]

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See detailAssessing the impacts of technical uncertainty on coupled surface/subsurface flow model predictions using a complex synthetic case
Wildemeersch, Samuel ULg; Goderniaux, Pascal ULg; Orban, Philippe ULg et al

Poster (2011, September)

According to the EU Water Framework Directive, Member States have to manage surface water and groundwater at the water body scale and in an integrated way. Flow and transport models constitute useful ... [more ▼]

According to the EU Water Framework Directive, Member States have to manage surface water and groundwater at the water body scale and in an integrated way. Flow and transport models constitute useful management tools in this context since they can predict system responses to future stresses. However, numerical modelling at such a scale faces specific issues linked to (1) the representation of the geological and hydrogeological complexity, (2) the uneven level of characterisation knowledge, (3) the representativity of measured parameters and variables in the field, and (4) the CPU time needed for solving the numerical problem. Assumptions and simplifications made for dealing with these issues can lead to a series of models differing by their complexity and by the reliability of their predictions. Consequently, modellers have to find a compromise between complexity and reliability. The main objective of this research is to estimate the impacts of technical uncertainty, which is the uncertainty related to the numerical implementation, on groundwater flow model predictions. To reach that objective, the methodology consists in comparing reference predictions (hydraulic heads and flow rates) of a complex and close to reality synthetic case with the predictions provided by a series of simplified models (coarse spatial discretisation, coarse time discretisation, simplified law in the unsaturated zone). The synthetic case reflects the main characteristics found in groundwater bodies of South Belgium (Condroz region of Wallonia), characterised by a succession of limestone synclines and sandstone anticlines. The numerical model is developed with the fully-integrated surface/subsurface flow and transport code HydroGeoSphere using a mesh refined along the surface water network (153027 nodes and 269872 elements). A 5-year reference transient simulation, with daily stress factors is performed. The simulated hydraulic heads and flow rates constitute the reference observations and predictions for the comparison with the simplified models. The simplified models tested differ by their horizontal (500 m vs. 1000 m element size) and vertical (8 layers vs. 3 layers) spatial discretisations, their time discretisation (daily vs. monthly stress factors), and the type of constitutive law used for simulating the unsaturated flow (linear vs. van Genuchten). The models are run with the same parameter values than those used in the reference model to evaluate the deterioration in model predictions due to technical uncertainty. Additionally, some of the models are calibrated with the inverse modelling code PEST to distinguish how far a model calibration can possibly compensate for technical uncertainty. Then, predictions from each simplified model are compared with the reference predictions of the synthetic case. Then, the simplified models are ranked using several model performance criteria. Results of this research provide guidelines for the numerical implementation of groundwater flow models at the water body scale with respect to specific groundwater management objectives. [less ▲]

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See detailMeasured and computed solute transport behaviour in the saturated zone of a fractured and slightly karstified chalk aquifer
Dassargues, Alain ULg; Goderniaux, Pascal ULg; Daoudi, Moubarak et al

in Bertrand, C.; Carry, N.; Mudry, J. (Eds.) et al Proc. H2Karst, 9th Conference on Limestone Hydrogeology (2011, September)

Solute transport in the saturated zone of a micro-fissured, fractured and even locally slightly karstified aquifer has been studied by multi-tracer tests in groundwater convergent flow conditions to ... [more ▼]

Solute transport in the saturated zone of a micro-fissured, fractured and even locally slightly karstified aquifer has been studied by multi-tracer tests in groundwater convergent flow conditions to pumping wells or towards a collecting gallery. Different behaviour has been detected that can be described by three kinds of typical breakthrough curves: (a) transport with a dominant advective component, producing narrow and symmetrical observed breakthrough curves, characteristic of solute transport in open fractures or conduits; (b) transport with significant advective and dispersive components exhibiting more spread-out breakthrough curves, with also non-symmetrical trends caused by retardation effects; (c) transport with a dominant dispersive component, showing mostly a flat breakthrough curve where dispersion and possible immobile water effects are difficult to be separated. These results were synthesized from thirty-five injections of tracers, distributed between 11 sites. Groundwater flow and solute transport are simulated and illustrated here for one example, employing the finite element code HYDROGEOSPHERE, and using two ways for representing the fracture zones: highly contrasting hydraulic conductivity zones with a classical REV approach and discrete fractures combined with a porous medium by the use of a dual approach. Results are particularly illustrative to show that detailed parameterization and calibration of such a local situation remain difficult even on the basis of an extensive data sets from many tracer tests. [less ▲]

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See detailRegional scale groundwater flow and transport modelling: from conceptual challenges to pragmatic numerical solutions
Wildemeersch, Samuel ULg; Goderniaux, Pascal ULg; Leroy, Mathieu et al

Conference (2011, July 05)

National and international regulations require the management of groundwater resources at the regional scale, considering the physical limits of hydrogeological systems. Physically-based, spatially ... [more ▼]

National and international regulations require the management of groundwater resources at the regional scale, considering the physical limits of hydrogeological systems. Physically-based, spatially-distributed groundwater flow and transport models allow representing in a realistic and reliable way the dynamics of regional groundwater systems and processes and accounting for negative or positive feedbacks induced by a changed stress factors or particular measures set up in the basin such as increase in pumping, use of fertilizers or artificial recharge. Such models are complex and their development and implementation are challenging for several reasons related to numerical difficulties but also to data acquisition and management, conceptualization, calibration and validation. Variably-saturated, regional flow and transport models have been developed using two finite element simulators SUFT3D and HydroGeoSphere specifically suited to regional-scale applications. A complex synthetic case has been used as a reference model to test the impact on predictions made and computing times of various conceptual and technical choices such as spatial and time discretization, simplified unsaturated laws or boundary conditions. Real cases have been developed for regional groundwater bodies (from 500 to 1700 km²) to deliver relevant information such as the estimation and evolution with time of groundwater reserves, under different stress conditions such as climate changes and for the evaluation of regional groundwater quality status and nitrate trend assessment under alternative management scenarios and mitigation measures. Results provide guidelines for the conceptualisation, the calibration and the use of regional-scale groundwater flow and transport models for decision making. [less ▲]

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See detailUncertainty of climate change impact on groundwater resources considering various uncertainty sources
Goderniaux, Pascal ULg; Brouyère, Serge ULg; Orban, Philippe ULg et al

in Abesser, C.; Nutzmann, G.; Hill, M. (Eds.) et al Conceptual and Modelling Studies of Integrated Groundwater, Surface Water, and Ecological Systems (2011, July)

Many studies have highlighted that climate change will have a negative impact on groundwater. However, in previous studies, the estimation of uncertainty around projections was very limited. In this study ... [more ▼]

Many studies have highlighted that climate change will have a negative impact on groundwater. However, in previous studies, the estimation of uncertainty around projections was very limited. In this study, the impact of climate change on groundwater resources is estimated for the Geer basin using a surface–subsurface integrated model. The uncertainties around impact projections are evaluated from three different sources. The uncertainty linked to the climate model is assessed with six contrasted RCMs and two GCMs. The uncertainty linked to the natural variability of the weather is evaluated thanks to a weather generator which enables production of a large number of equiprobable climatic scenarios. The uncertainty linked to the calibration of the hydrological model is assessed by a coupling with UCODE_2005 and by performing a complete linear uncertainty analysis on predictions. A linear analysis is approximate for this nonlinear system, but provides some measure of uncertainty for this computationally demanding model. Results for this study show that the uncertainty linked to the hydrological model is the most important. [less ▲]

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See detailRegional scale flow and transport modelling for the management of groundwater and surface water bodies in the framework of the EU Water Directive
Leroy, Mathieu; Orban, Philippe ULg; Brouyère, Serge ULg et al

Conference (2011, May 02)

The Water Framework Directive requires from EU member states to manage water resources at the scale of surface water and groundwater bodies in a sustainable way, without altering the different functions ... [more ▼]

The Water Framework Directive requires from EU member states to manage water resources at the scale of surface water and groundwater bodies in a sustainable way, without altering the different functions provided by the system in natural conditions. Efficient management also requires qualitative tools to assess the evolution of water quality regarding the activities performed in the area of interest. In this context, the objective is to discuss the needs in terms of groundwater flow and transport modelling as a support to the Water Framework Directive and to present a methodological and numerical approach that fits with these requirements. Different variably-saturated models have been implemented for selected case studies ranging between 500 and 1700 km² in the Walloon Region of Belgium. The implementation of such models is challenging because of the scale and the processes that have to be simulated. However, when calibrated and used adequately, they are able to deliver most information required, such as the estimation and evolution with time of groundwater reserves, the calculation of different indicators on groundwater replenishment and exploitation, the base flow to rivers and surface water bodies, under different stress conditions such as pumping, rainfall and climate change. They are also used for the evaluation of regional groundwater quality status and for contaminant trend assessment (e.g. nitrate) under different alternative management scenarios and mitigation measures that could be implemented in the future. This study illustrates perfectly the efficiency and usefulness of regional scale groundwater flow and transport modelling as a tool for the management of groundwater bodies. [less ▲]

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See detailA regional flux-based risk assessment approach of contaminated sites on groundwater bodies
Brouyère, Serge ULg; Jamin, Pierre ULg; Dollé, Fabien ULg et al

in Schirmer, Mario; Hoehn, Eduard; Vogt, Tobias (Eds.) Groundwater Quality 2010 : Groundwater Quality Management in a Rapidly Changing World (2011)

In the context of the Water Framework Directive, management plans have to be set up about water quality issues in surface and ground water bodies in the EU. In heavily industrialised and urbanised areas ... [more ▼]

In the context of the Water Framework Directive, management plans have to be set up about water quality issues in surface and ground water bodies in the EU. In heavily industrialised and urbanised areas, the cumulative effect of multiple contaminant sources is likely to present a risk which has to be evaluated. In order to propose adequate measures, the calculated risk should be based on criteria reflecting the risk of water quality deterioration, in a cumulative way and at the scale of the whole surface water or groundwater body. An integrated GIS- and flux-based risk assessment approach for groundwater and surface water bodies is described with a regional scale indicator for the evaluation of the quality status of the groundwater body. It is based on the SEQ-ESO currently used in the Walloon Region of Belgium which defines, for different water uses and for a detailed list of groundwater contaminants, a set of threshold values reflecting the levels of water quality and degradation with respect to each contaminant. The methodology is illustrated with a first real scale application on a groundwater body corresponding to a contaminated alluvial aquifer which has been classified at risk of not reaching a good quality status by 2015. [less ▲]

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See detailNumerical simulation of heat transfer associated with low enthalpy geothermal pumping in an alluvial aquifer
Fossoul, Frédérique ULg; Orban, Philippe ULg; Dassargues, Alain ULg

in Geologica Belgica (2011), 14(1-2),

In a context favourable to renewable energies, various aquifers are studied to supply heating and/or cooling systems. The groundwater flow and heat transport are modelled in the alluvial aquifer of the ... [more ▼]

In a context favourable to renewable energies, various aquifers are studied to supply heating and/or cooling systems. The groundwater flow and heat transport are modelled in the alluvial aquifer of the river Meuse in providing an integrated tool for assessing the feasibility of a low energy air cooling/heating system for a large office building by pumping groundwater and discharging it in the river after being heated/cooled by using heat pumps. First, a comparative sensitivity analysis is performed using different codes for assessing the influence of coupling and non linearities on the main parameters due to the temperature evolution in function of time. Then, assuming that the aquifer temperature variation is weak enough to neglect its influence on hydrodynamics and thermal parameters, the MT3DMS and HydroGeoSphere codes are used for modelling the actual case-study. In practice, the worst case scenario considered by the project manager is the cooling of the office building during the hottest summer conditions. So, the influence of the warm water from the river Meuse is computed as it constitutes the major limiting factor. An optimisation of the pumping schema is computed to maximise the efficiency of the system. [less ▲]

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See detailModelling groundwater pumping and coupled heat transport in a alluvial aquifer: tests using different codes an optimisation
Fossoul, Frédérique ULg; Orban, Philippe ULg; Dassargues, Alain ULg

in Carrera, Jesus (Ed.) XVIII International Conference on Computational Methods in Water Resources, CMWR 2010 (2010, June 24)

Various aquifers are studied in terms of low temperature geothermal potential. The feasibility and impact studies of these systems imply very often a numerical simulation of groundwater flow and heat ... [more ▼]

Various aquifers are studied in terms of low temperature geothermal potential. The feasibility and impact studies of these systems imply very often a numerical simulation of groundwater flow and heat transport. Nowadays, some finite element or finite difference codes are able to deal with such non linear simulations. On a synthetic case study and then on a real case study, a detailed comparative sensitivity analysis is performed using three different codes (MT3DMS, SHEMAT and HYDROGEOSHERE). For low temperatures and relatively small temperature changes, it appears rapidly that the uncertainty affecting values of the main hydrodynamic parameters (i.e. hydraulic conductivity) influences more the results than taking into account any coupling or non linearity. For a case study, the pumping and associated groundwater flow and heat transport are modeled in an alluvial aquifer interacting with a main river in order to assess feasibility of a low energy air cooling /heating system for a large office building. The worst case scenario corresponds to hot summer conditions simultaneously with river maximum temperature and the model leads to an optimization with intermittent pumping in minimum 6 wells. Numerical codes are ready to simulate complex groundwater flow, solute transport and heat transport situations in aquifers, however efforts must be realized to obtain reliable experimental in-situ measured values for the hydro-thermal properties. [less ▲]

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