References of "Fettweis, Xavier"
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See detailBasin-scale partitioning of Greenland ice sheet mass balance components (2007–2011)
Andersen, M.L.; Stenseng, L.; Skourup, H. et al

in Earth and Planetary Science Letters (2015), 409

The current deficit in Greenland ice sheet mass balance is due to both a decrease in surface mass balance (SMB ) input and an increase in ice discharge (D ) output. While SMB processes are beginning to be ... [more ▼]

The current deficit in Greenland ice sheet mass balance is due to both a decrease in surface mass balance (SMB ) input and an increase in ice discharge (D ) output. While SMB processes are beginning to be well captured by observationally-constrained climate modeling, insight into D is relatively limited. We use InSAR-derived velocities, in combination with ice thickness observations, to quantify the mass flux (F ) across a flux perimeter around the ice sheet at ∼1700 m elevation. To quantify D , we correct F for SMB , as well as changes in volume due to ice dynamics, in the area downstream of the gate. Using a 1961–1990 reference climatology SMB field from the MAR regional climate model, we quantify ice sheet mass balance within eighteen basins. We find a 2007–2011 mean D of View the MathML source. We find a 2007–2011 mean total mass balance of View the MathML source, which is equal to a 0.73 mm yr−1 global sea level rise contribution. This mass loss is dominated by SMB, which accounts for 61% of mass loss in the basins where partitioning is possible. [less ▲]

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See detailVery high resolution surface mass balance of Svalbard with the regional climate model MAR
Lang, Charlotte ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg

Poster (2015)

We present climate and surface mass balance (SMB) results over Svalbard simulated by a new version of the regional climate MAR model allowing to reach ∼km resolution without highly time-consuming runs ... [more ▼]

We present climate and surface mass balance (SMB) results over Svalbard simulated by a new version of the regional climate MAR model allowing to reach ∼km resolution without highly time-consuming runs. Spitsbergen, the largest island of the Svalbard archipelago, has a very hilly topography and, as the SMB strongly depends on the local topography and ice distribution, we need a high spatial resolution to accurately represent the SMB of Svalbard and its complex spatial distribution. However, higher resolution simulations are also very time consuming. That is why we have developed a new version of the MAR model in which the atmospheric module runs at a resolution of 7.5 km and the snow/ice module runs at a resolution of 3.75 km. Simulations over 1960-2014 forced by ERA show better agreement with SMB observations compared to our recent 10 km resolution recently published results. [less ▲]

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See detailEvaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance
Agosta, Cécile ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Datta, Rajashree

in Cryosphere (The) (2015), 9

The surface mass balance (SMB) of the Antarctic Ice Sheet cannot be reliably deduced from global climate models (GCMs), both because their spatial resolution is insufficient and because their physics are ... [more ▼]

The surface mass balance (SMB) of the Antarctic Ice Sheet cannot be reliably deduced from global climate models (GCMs), both because their spatial resolution is insufficient and because their physics are not adapted for cold and snow-covered regions. By contrast, regional climate models (RCMs) adapted for polar regions can physically and dynamically downscale SMB components over the ice sheet using large-scale forcing at their boundaries. Polar-oriented RCMs require appropriate GCM fields for forcing because the response of the cryosphere to a warming climate is dependent on its initial state and is not linear with respect to temperature increase. In this context, we evaluate the current climate in 41 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) data set over Antarctica by focusing on forcing fields which may have the greatest impact on SMB components simulated by RCMs. Our inter-comparison includes six reanalyses, among which ERA-Interim reanalysis is chosen as a reference over 1979–2014. Model efficiency is assessed taking into account the multi-decadal variability of the fields over the 1850–1980 period. We show that fewer than 10 CMIP5 models show reasonable biases compared to ERA-Interim, among which ACCESS1-3 is the most pertinent choice for forcing RCMs over Antarctica, followed by ACCESS1-0, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, NorESM1-M, CCSM4 and EC-EARTH. Finally, climate change over the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 is less sensitive to the global warming signal than it is to the present-day simulated sea-ice extent and to the feedback between sea-ice decrease and air temperature increase around Antarctica. [less ▲]

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See detailRapid dynamic activation of a marine-based Arctic ice cap
McMillan, M; Shepherd, A; Gourmelen, N et al

in Geophysical Research Letters (2014), 41(24), 89028909

We use satellite observations to document rapid acceleration and ice loss from a formerly slow-flowing, marine-based sector of Austfonna, the largest ice cap in the Eurasian Arctic. During the past two ... [more ▼]

We use satellite observations to document rapid acceleration and ice loss from a formerly slow-flowing, marine-based sector of Austfonna, the largest ice cap in the Eurasian Arctic. During the past two decades, the sector ice discharge has increased 45-fold, the velocity regime has switched from predominantly slow (~ 101 m/yr) to fast (~ 103 m/yr) flow, and rates of ice thinning have exceeded 25 m/yr. At the time of widespread dynamic activation, parts of the terminus may have been near floatation. Subsequently, the imbalance has propagated 50 km inland to within 8 km of the ice cap summit. Our observations demonstrate the ability of slow-flowing ice to mobilize and quickly transmit the dynamic imbalance inland; a process that we show has initiated rapid ice loss to the ocean and redistribution of ice mass to locations more susceptible to melt, yet which remains poorly understood. [less ▲]

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See detailAssessing spatio-temporal variability and trends in modelled and measured Greenland Ice Sheet albedo (2000–2013)
Alexander, P.; Tedesco, M.; Fettweis, Xavier ULg et al

in Cryosphere (The) (2014), 8

Accurate measurements and simulations of Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) surface albedo are essential, given the role of surface albedo in modulating the amount of absorbed solar radiation and meltwater ... [more ▼]

Accurate measurements and simulations of Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) surface albedo are essential, given the role of surface albedo in modulating the amount of absorbed solar radiation and meltwater production. In this study, we assess the spatio-temporal variability of GrIS albedo during June, July, and August (JJA) for the period 2000–2013. We use two remote sensing products derived from data collected by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), as well as outputs from the Modèle Atmosphérique Régionale (MAR) regional climate model (RCM) and data from in situ automatic weather stations. Our results point to an overall consistency in spatio-temporal variability between remote sensing and RCM albedo, but reveal a difference in mean albedo of up to ~0.08 between the two remote sensing products north of 70° N. At low elevations, albedo values simulated by the RCM are positively biased with respect to remote sensing products by up to ~0.1 and exhibit low variability compared with observations. We infer that these differences are the result of a positive bias in simulated bare ice albedo. MODIS albedo, RCM outputs, and in situ observations consistently indicate a decrease in albedo of −0.03 to −0.06 per decade over the period 2003–2013 for the GrIS ablation area. Nevertheless, satellite products show a decline in JJA albedo of −0.03 to −0.04 per decade for regions within the accumulation area that is not confirmed by either the model or in situ observations. These findings appear to contradict a previous study that found an agreement between in situ and MODIS trends for individual months. The results indicate a need for further evaluation of high elevation albedo trends, a reconciliation of MODIS mean albedo at high latitudes, and the importance of accurately simulating bare ice albedo in RCMs. [less ▲]

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See detailENSO forecast using a wavelet-based mode decomposition
Deliège, Adrien ULg; Nicolay, Samuel ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg

Poster (2014, December)

We introduce a new method for forecasting major El Niño/ La Niña events based on a wavelet mode decomposition. This methodology allows us to approximate the ENSO time series with a superposition of three ... [more ▼]

We introduce a new method for forecasting major El Niño/ La Niña events based on a wavelet mode decomposition. This methodology allows us to approximate the ENSO time series with a superposition of three periodic signals corresponding to periods of about 31, 43 and 61 months respectively with time-varying amplitudes. This pseudo-periodic approximation is then extrapolated to give forecasts. While this last one only resolves the large variations in the ENSO time series, three years hindcast as retroactive prediction allows to recover most of the El Niño/ La Niña events of the last 60 years. [less ▲]

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See detailSensitivity of Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance to perturbations in sea surface temperature and sea ice cover: a study with the regional climate model MAR
Noel, Brice; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; van de Berg, W.J. et al

in Cryosphere (The) (2014), 8

During recent summers (2007–2012), several surface melt records were broken over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). The extreme summer melt resulted in part from a persistent negative phase of the North ... [more ▼]

During recent summers (2007–2012), several surface melt records were broken over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). The extreme summer melt resulted in part from a persistent negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), favoring warmer atmospheric conditions than normal over the GrIS. Simultaneously, large anomalies in sea ice cover (SIC) and sea surface temperature (SST) were observed in the North Atlantic, suggesting a possible connection. To assess the direct impact of 2007–2012 SIC and SST anomalies on GrIS surface mass balance (SMB), a set of sensitivity experiments was carried out with the regional climate model MAR forced by ERA-Interim. These simulations suggest that perturbations in SST and SIC in the seas surrounding Greenland do not considerably impact GrIS SMB, as a result of the katabatic wind blocking effect. These offshore-directed winds prevent oceanic near-surface air, influenced by SIC and SST anomalies, from penetrating far inland. Therefore, the ice sheet SMB response is restricted to coastal regions, where katabatic winds cease. A topic for further investigation is how anomalies in SIC and SST might have indirectly affected the surface melt by changing the general circulation in the North Atlantic region, hence favoring more frequent warm air advection towards the GrIS. [less ▲]

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See detailSolar irradiance modelling over Belgium using Regional Climate Models within the frame of a day-ahead photovoltaic production forecasting system
Beaumet, Julien ULg; Doutreloup, Sébastien ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg et al

Poster (2014, October 06)

WRF-ARW and MAR climate models performances for the modelling of solar irradiances over Belgium are evaluated using in-situ measurements at Sart-Tilman and Daussoulx. Different WRF-ARW settings are tested ... [more ▼]

WRF-ARW and MAR climate models performances for the modelling of solar irradiances over Belgium are evaluated using in-situ measurements at Sart-Tilman and Daussoulx. Different WRF-ARW settings are tested. Sigmoid model proposed by Ruis-Ariaz etal. (2010) is used to decompose solar irradiance into direct and diffuse fraction. The performance of this model using measured and modelled global irradiances is also evaluated. [less ▲]

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See detailSensitivity Study of the antarctic surface mass balance to snow erosion by the wind.
Gallée, Hubert; Agosta, Cécile ULg; Amory, Charles et al

Conference (2014, August 26)

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See detailMICROPHYSIQUE DES NUAGES ET RAYONNEMENT SOLAIRE : COMPARAISON DES MESURES IN SITU AU MONT RIGI EN HAUTE BELGIQUE ET DES DONNÉES CLOUD PHYSICAL PROPERTIES (CPP) OBTENUES À PARTIR DES IMAGES METEOSAT-9
Beaumet, Julien ULg; Clerbaux, Nicolas; Cornet, Yves ULg et al

in Camberlin, Pierre; Richard, Yves (Eds.) Actes du XXVIIe Colloque de l'Association Internationale de Climatologie : CLIMAT : SYSTÈME & INTERACTIONS (2014, July 02)

Le rayonnement solaire global mesuré au mont Rigi a été comparé à l'épaisseur optique des nuages (COT) estimée à l'aide des données SEVIRI. Une relation logarithmique avec un coefficient de détermination ... [more ▼]

Le rayonnement solaire global mesuré au mont Rigi a été comparé à l'épaisseur optique des nuages (COT) estimée à l'aide des données SEVIRI. Une relation logarithmique avec un coefficient de détermination d'environ 0,5 a été trouvée. Ce résultat plutôt faible peut en grande partie s'expliquer par un nombre limité de cas où subsistent des erreurs de positionnement ou par des interactions plus complexes entre nébulosité et rayonnement. De plus, l'incertitude sur l'estimation de l'épaisseur optique des nuages à l'aide des données SEVIRI pour les nuages optiquement plus épais n'est pas négligeable. [less ▲]

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See detailComparaison entre le profil vertical de la vitesse du vent observé dans les basses couches de la troposphère et celui simulé par le modèle WRF en Belgique
Doutreloup, Sébastien ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Beaumet, Julien ULg et al

in Camberlin, Pierre; Richard, Yves (Eds.) Actes du XXVIIe Colloque de l'Association Internationale de Climatologie : CLIMAT : SYSTÈME & INTERACTIONS (2014, July 02)

In the framework of FLEXIPAC project funded by the "RELIABLE" program of Walloon Region (Belgium), the Laboratory of Climatology Topoclimatology (LCT) of the University of Liège (Belgium) aims to adjust ... [more ▼]

In the framework of FLEXIPAC project funded by the "RELIABLE" program of Walloon Region (Belgium), the Laboratory of Climatology Topoclimatology (LCT) of the University of Liège (Belgium) aims to adjust the WRF regional model (v.3.4.) forced by the ERA-Interim reanalysis for Belgium. Our analysis shows that wind speeds at 100m simulated by WRF are systematically overestimated compared to wind speeds extracted from wind productions of two wind farms. In order to solve this problem, four ways are considered in this contribution. The first way is to compare the WRF model with the reanalysis data. The second way is to test the influence of the spatial resolution by running WRF with a finer resolution. The third way is to smooth WRF outputs, where in order to analyze the variability created by the model. And finally, the fourth way is to compare the WRF model with the MAR (v3.3.) regional model. This last way seems to confirm that the MAR model better simulates wind speeds at 10m and at 100m than the WRF model. [less ▲]

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See detailSolar irradiance modelling over Belgium using WRF-ARW : A sensitivity analysis of Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino (BYNN) boundary layer scheme parameters
Beaumet, Julien ULg; Doutreloup, Sébastien ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg et al

Conference (2014, June 06)

Global solar irradiances at ground level are modelled over Belgium using latest version of WRF-ARW regional climate model (RCM). The model set-up used has a resolution of 5 kilometres. The boundary layer ... [more ▼]

Global solar irradiances at ground level are modelled over Belgium using latest version of WRF-ARW regional climate model (RCM). The model set-up used has a resolution of 5 kilometres. The boundary layer scheme chosen is the Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino (MYNN) 2.5 scheme with the Turbulent Kinetic Energy (TKE) closure proposed by Canuto et al., (2008) and Kitamura (2010). In this scheme, the modification of some parameters allows to change the determinant mixing length (surface layer, planet boundary layer, top of boundary layer/entrainment) which then modifies heat and moistures fluxes produced by turbulent mixing. Such modifications have significant influences on modelled cloudiness and therefore on modelled global solar irradiance incoming at the surface. The present study proposes a sensitivity analysis of the different parameters that influence the mixing length ('alp1' to 'alp5') and the TKE diffusion ('Sqfac') in order to find the most suitable constant values of these parameters for the modelling of cloudiness over Belgium. Results of different simulations are compared with global solar irradiance measurements performed by the Centre Spatial de Liège at Sart-Tilman in 2013 and 2014. Firsts results show that the dry bias frequently found when using WRF-ARW with standard set-ups can be greatly reduced thanks to an increased modelled cloudiness. The quantitative and qualitative effects of these modifications over cloudiness are also analysed by displaying 2D representation of modelled clouds over Sart-Tilman and confronting them with on-site observations. [less ▲]

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See detailComparison between wind speed observed at 100m height and wind speeds simulated by the WRF and MAR models
Doutreloup, Sébastien ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Erpicum, Michel ULg et al

Poster (2014, June 06)

In the context of FLEXIPAC project funded by "RELIABLE" program of Walloon Region (Belgium), the Laboratory of Climatology and Topoclimatology (LCT) of the University of Liège (Belgium) aims to adjust the ... [more ▼]

In the context of FLEXIPAC project funded by "RELIABLE" program of Walloon Region (Belgium), the Laboratory of Climatology and Topoclimatology (LCT) of the University of Liège (Belgium) aims to adjust the WRF regional model (v.3.4.) forced by ERA-Interim model. Our analysis shows that wind speeds at 100m height simulated by WRF are systematically overestimated compared to wind speeds extracted from wind productions of two wind farms. In order to identify this problem, four comparisons were performed in this contribution. Firstly, we compare WRF model with reanalysis based forcing model. Secondly, we compare two WRF simulations, where one of them has a more precise spatial resolution. Thirdly, we smooth WRF outputs in time (6-hr running mean) in order to study the accuracy of the 30-min variability generated by WRF model. Finally, we comp compare the WRF model with the MAR (v3.3.) regional model using the same forcing at its lateral boundaries. This last one seems to suggest that the MAR model better simulates wind speeds at 10m and at 100m than WRF model and then that wind speed underestimation by WRF is well linked to the WRF physics itself. [less ▲]

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See detailÉtude des changements de circulation au-dessus de l'océan Austral en été
Belleflamme, Alexandre ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Erpicum, Michel ULg

in Camberlin, Pierre; Richard, Yves (Eds.) Actes du XXVIIème colloque de l'Association de Climatologie - Climat : système & interactions (2014, June)

Over the five last decades, the reanalyses (ERA and NCEP/NCAR) show a strengthening of the pressure gradient between the southern hemisphere subtropical anticyclone belt and the southern circumpolar lows ... [more ▼]

Over the five last decades, the reanalyses (ERA and NCEP/NCAR) show a strengthening of the pressure gradient between the southern hemisphere subtropical anticyclone belt and the southern circumpolar lows during summer. With the help of an automatic circulation type classification, we show that the strengthening of the pressure gradient is generalised to all circulation types and, paradoxically, it does not cause circulation changes. It is probably implied by the strengthening of the temperature gradient between the tropics and the South Pole, without consequences on the general circulation. Our classification also allows a successful comparison between the two reanalyses in a region where the observation data are rare. [less ▲]

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See detailEstimating Antarctic ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MAR
Agosta, Cécile ULg; Fettweis, Xavier ULg; Gallée, Hubert

Conference (2014, May 26)

The Antarctic ice-sheet surface mass balance (SMB) is a significant contribution to sea level changes which may mitigate the rise in sea level in a warmer climate, but this term is still poorly known. The ... [more ▼]

The Antarctic ice-sheet surface mass balance (SMB) is a significant contribution to sea level changes which may mitigate the rise in sea level in a warmer climate, but this term is still poorly known. The Antarctic SMB cannot be directly deduced from global climate models (GCMs) because of their too low resolution (~100 km) and their unadapted physic over cold and snow-covered areas. That is why the use of a regional climate models (RCM) specifically developed for polar regions is particularly relevant. We present here new estimations of the Antarctic SMB changes for the 20th and the 21st century at 40 km of resolution with the MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) RCM. Recent studies showed that large scale forcing from GCMs was the main source of uncertainty for RCM-deduced SMB, thus we first present a carefully analysis of the CMIP5 GCMs (used in the AR5 IPCC report) compared to the ERA-Interim reanalysis over the Antarctic region, from which we could select the less biased large scale forcing for MAR. We thus show the Antarctic SMB evolution as modeled with MAR forced by ACCESS1-3 for RCP 4.5 and 8.5 greenhouse gaz scenarios. We evaluate our outputs by comparing MAR forced by ACCESS1-3 and ERA-Interim for the 1980-2000 period to more than 2700 quality-controlled observations and to surface meteorological data from the READER database. We then give SMB changes estimations for the 21st century together with an analysis of uncertainties coming from the MAR model, the GCM forcing and the greenhouse gaz scenarios. [less ▲]

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See detailIncreasing meltwater discharge from the Nuuk region of the Greenland ice sheet and implications for mass balance (1960-2012)
Van As, D; Andersen, ML; Petersen, D et al

in Journal of Glaciology (2014), 60(220), 314-322

We assess the runoff and surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet in the Nuuk region (southwest) using output of two regional climate models (RCMs) evaluated by observations. The region ... [more ▼]

We assess the runoff and surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet in the Nuuk region (southwest) using output of two regional climate models (RCMs) evaluated by observations. The region encompasses six glaciers that drain into Godtha ̊bsfjord. RCM data (1960–2012) are resampled to a high spatial resolution to include the narrow (relative to the native grid spacing) glacier trunks in the ice mask. Comparing RCM gridded results with automatic weather station (AWS) point measurements reveals that locally models can underestimate ablation and overestimate accumulation by up to tens of per cent. However, comparison with lake discharge indicates that modelled regional runoff totals are more accurate. Model results show that melt and runoff in the Nuuk region have doubled over the past two decades. Regional SMB attained negative values in recent high-melt years. Taking into account frontal ablation of the marine-terminating glaciers, the region lost 10–20 km3 w.e. a–1 in 2010–12. If 2010 melting prevails during the remainder of this century, a low-end estimate of sea-level rise of 5 mm is expected by 2100 from this relatively small section (2.6%) of the ice sheet alone. [less ▲]

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See detailCalottes glaciaires et niveau marin
Fettweis, Xavier ULg

Conference given outside the academic context (2014)

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